2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSpin it all you want Hillary supporters, but Bernie's performance was unprecedented
Bernie....
- had not just no support from the Democratic Party, but actually has become a virtual enemy of the Democratic Party establishment
- is going up against the Clinton Machine
- was hardly known before running for president and has had lack of familiarity and exposure due to lack of debates on primetime
- has been labeled a radical and "unelectable" by many
And he managed to virtually tie with Hillary.
Hillary, the Democratic Party establishment, and the media did a flurry of attacks within the past few days and all Hillary managed to do was a tie? That to me is a mediocre outcome for Hillary.
truedelphi
(32,324 posts)Time than they have given Bernie.
This is a major loss for Hillary, regardless of how CNN and the other Corporate hack controlled "networks" are playing it.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)It is a state 95% white and filled with college campuses, she won after coming in 3rd in 2008. A win is a win. And she won.
Matariki
(18,775 posts)Oh noes!!!
AZ Progressive
(3,411 posts)You must be ecstatic!
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Represent the diversity of our Democratic base.
jfern
(5,204 posts)I wonder what it is now. California is 2nd only to Hawaii in the lowest percentage of non Hispanic whites.
merrily
(45,251 posts)Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)disadvantage of some kind with white voters.
truedelphi
(32,324 posts)Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)Hillary is as close to being an incumbent as possible. She had every advantage.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)AZ Progressive
(3,411 posts)Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)coyote
(1,561 posts)RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)daleanime
(17,796 posts)Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)We know what the evil fucks did. CNN and PBS among the worst.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)That was just pure evil.
tecelote
(5,122 posts)The chosen one is not as inevitable as they thought and the biggest problem for her now is that Bernie will be heard.
The more people hear Bernie, the more he surges to the top.
The numbers may show a close count but really, Bernie won big time!
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Hillary is the only candidate who was getting slammed with ads by every single candidate on both sides...and still won.
cali
(114,904 posts)JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)He went this entire primary going unattacked while Hillary faced the onslaught.
Response to JaneyVee (Reply #11)
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JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)My god, you guys dont even know whats waiting for you. Look around.
Response to JaneyVee (Reply #17)
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JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)that started at 80% had to call a 50-50 tie a win. Tell me again who won?
You're right though, some don't even know what's waiting for them.
GoneFishin
(5,217 posts)Because without the lies they got nothing.
merrily
(45,251 posts)Paid ads are not the only way people attack a candidate, but he has had some of those as well.
Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)She's so oppressed.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)AZ Progressive
(3,411 posts)Response to JaneyVee (Reply #4)
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JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Response to JaneyVee (Reply #18)
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JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)SusanCalvin
(6,592 posts)MichaelSoE
(1,576 posts)the system is run by the man ... and the man thinks it's a woman's turn. I mean ... oh, you know what I mean. Maybe I'll just self delete this in a few minutes.
Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)Please don't delete.
merrily
(45,251 posts)It's past time we had a women President. But, not if it means more war and the status quo.
MichaelSoE
(1,576 posts)If it was Elizabeth Warren I'd be voting for a woman ... but not because she's a woman
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)FYI, the Democratic Party just voted for Bernie, as well.
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)JTFrog
(14,274 posts)cui bono
(19,926 posts).
BigGLiberal
(102 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)That particular victim card needs to be shelved.
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)country forward, opening eyes to possibilities offered by left-wing solutions to problems created by right-wing ideology.
You know, real progressives don't spend their time slogging around in emotional mud fights, they look forward and work for big solutions to big problems. Are you progressive as your name suggests, or just a partisan?
bulloney
(4,113 posts)Free college education. Free health care. Free everything. They mock it every chance they get.
Of course, it's not free and Sanders is up front about it. But to my RW friends mocking the "free" stuff from Sanders, I guess they just want the status quo, where our tax dollars pay to bail out the crooked and unethical Wall Street banks and give the Pentagon a blank check to wage war on any country that doesn't walk, talk and chew gum they way we think they should. I guess that's what they want in a POTUS.
No thank you. If we're going to get change, we have to vote for it. I get so tired of people bitching about how things are but they keep voting the people back into power that cause the problems. And it's because of their political party. If they're a Repub, they'd vote for that candidate no matter what. Around here all that candidate has to do is say he or she is "pro life" and "supports the Second Amendment" and be a total waste of a Congressional seat once they're elected. They literally do nothing. Congress has an approval rating of what? Around 14%? But more than 95% of the incumbents are re-elected? There's a major cognitive disconnect here.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)People should be AFRAID of him, but they same people latch on to anyone who will sing their church songs, no matter how evil, and because of his actions I do believe Cruz is dangerous and should not be trusted with even a little power.
There is no end to the cognitive disconnects for those who do not respect truth, whatever it is. Right wingers always attack us as moochers who believe we've found ways to rig the system so we don't have to pay for anything. They believe that as happily as some people enjoy insisting Hillary is conservative. At some point people actually come to believe their many irresponsible indulgences and turn into political idiots.
But -- progressivism. It's terribly important that we remember that bettering our nation is our goal. All our Democratic candidates are good people working for the people. We should be proud of them all, and of ourselves for supporting them.
nil desperandum
(654 posts)That comment is spot on what's wrong in the USA today. We give congress a 12% approval rating and put 90+% of incumbents back into the job every election cycle as if that will somehow make things better the next time around....
ProudToBeLiberal
(3,964 posts)pnwmom
(108,995 posts)jeff47
(26,549 posts)Hoyt
(54,770 posts)if you took the time to look.
merrily
(45,251 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)BlueMTexpat
(15,373 posts)be very proud. For a self-described Democratic Socialist, his performance in Iowa is indeed unprecedented. And yes, he came within a hair.
But why must you be so bitter about this unprecedented and symbolically historical victory for a woman?
hopemountain
(3,919 posts)not bitter - just stating the truth. it is a tie and hillary did not win.
BlueMTexpat
(15,373 posts)not an actual one, at least per the IA Democratic party.
But have it your way if you must. Clinton supporters can afford to be gracious.
hopemountain
(3,919 posts)BlueMTexpat
(15,373 posts)we are much more alike than not, I truly believe.
hopemountain
(3,919 posts)mitakuye oyasin -
merrily
(45,251 posts)No one is bitter, but Hillary supporters have been posting ridiculous stuff for some reason.
eridani
(51,907 posts)--choice, but Warren decided not to run. Ironic that the woman candidate does not advocate for the best polices for women. She was even gutless enough to call the fake Planned Parenthood video "disturbing."
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)I think she will be a horrible President.
MyNameGoesHere
(7,638 posts)CSStrowbridge
(267 posts)HA! This is spin.
I was told over and over again that the M$M was pushing propaganda when they showed a poll that had Hillary Clinton ahead and every polls that showed Sanders in the lead was proof that he was assured victory.
florida08
(4,106 posts)He's working against the DNC and the corporate Oligarch. So yes Bernie sent a message "we're coming". Hillary's message? Thanks. The coin toss thing was ridiculous.
Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)For all their costly dishonest efforts the ENTRENCHED INTERESTS could not destroy Bernie.
This is a clear loss for the status quo.
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Arse from here to Timbuktu!
There are still Iowa precincts that haven't reported and one delegate left.
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Stamp feet, whine, and toss petty insults. Lovely.
The only outstanding question is, will they get more and more shrill as the losses mount, or just fade?
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)It really does feel like you guys are republicans.
VulgarPoet
(2,872 posts)...every time I say something to that effect, I wind up getting lucky jury draws.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)COIN TOSS!!!
COIN TOSS!!!
COIN TOSS!!!
.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)It really does feel like you guys are children
Oh the irony of that post is delicious.
.
joeybee12
(56,177 posts)Who's the spinning? Up is down, right is left
florida08
(4,106 posts)Ted Cruz won. Hillary will split the delegates with Bernie. Nothing to brag about. This is going to a long campaign. Sportsmanship should be foremost as Hillary just might need Bernie supporters later.
Bohunk68
(1,364 posts)by their meme that Bernie supporters are not really Democrats. Ergo, they don't need nor do they want our votes come GE time.
florida08
(4,106 posts)If she or they get cocky they will push progressive votes away. Am Not sure I can vote for another corporate POTUS anyway.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)They've also pushed me to rec threads that show Hillary in a negative light. I used to skip those when this started but the lying, the smears, the attempts at swiftboating Bernie, the sites they started just to spew vile hatred at Bernie and his supporters, all of that plus their substanceless smarmy immature posts made me start reccing and posting away.
And they still think they have taken the high road somehow.
.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)That is all on some in the Sanders camp I'm afraid. There have been several high-profile Sanders DU'ers banned over the last few months, and over in his DU group they not only crow about it but pin their off-site anti-Hillary rants.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Last edited Tue Feb 2, 2016, 02:12 PM - Edit history (1)
is not a terribly good idea.
Weren't the Clinton supporters supposed to be the ones who understand how politics works?
Tarc
(10,476 posts)If you think Hill's coming to y'all on bended knee in the Fall, that ain't gonna happen
You'll have to decide for yourself of the 2 eventual candidates which one will be better for leading the country.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)- Joseph de Maistre
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)Settling for a center-right corporatist with more baggage than a fully loaded Boeing isn't too exciting.
We deserve better.
noiretextatique
(27,275 posts)And what will you do if Sanders is one of the two?
Bohunk68
(1,364 posts)If you are going to comment, at least get it right.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)Because they are afraid of Bernie, the real Democrat. And they don't think Hillary can beat him.
.
pengu
(462 posts)If they want to celebrate that, that's fine with me. At the beginning of November she was up 30 points, and she won by nailing 6 out of 7 coin flips. If Bernie wins 4 of those 7, he wins Iowa.
I'm feeling good. I would have been ecstatic if he won, but this is still light years ahead of what he needed to make this a race.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)sarge43
(28,945 posts)Renew Deal
(81,872 posts)billhicks76
(5,082 posts)Gothmog
(145,562 posts)According to one of the experts for the Cook Report, Sanders needs to win big in Iowa to have a chance http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/sanders-needs-more-than-a-win-in-iowa-to-beat-clinton
Yet, even then, delegate allocation is proportional, which means that Sanders would have to begin winning by major margins to make the race a serious contest.
Wasserman estimates that according to his models, Sanders would "need to win 70 percent of Iowa's delegates and 63 percent of New Hampshire's delegates" to even "be on track" to stay competitive with Clinton in later states where demographically speaking, Clinton has shown she has more support. And in a states like Florida and South Carolina, Clinton leads in recent polls by 36 points and 19 points, respectively.
"It is not merely the delegate process that favors Hillary, it is the voters. She has earned the loyalty and support of communities of color, women, the LGBTQ community, environmentalists, and other vital parts of the Democratic coalition," says Democratic strategist Paul Begala, a Clinton supporter. "Bernie's coalition - so far - is more narrow. It is impressive in its energy and its passion, but it is, I think, more narrow."
The Cook Report has some good analysis
After New Hampshire, Sanders is headed to states that have less than 90+% white voting populations and Sanders is not appealing to African American or Hispanic voters. Super Tuesday will be a long day
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)And yes, Super Tuesday will be a long day for him.
He will win NH, of course, but after that he isn't competitive. He really needed a big Iowa win to give him any chance via momentum.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)Bernie needed only to give the ordained candidate a run for her $$$$$$$$money$$$$$$$$$, which he did, admirably. 50-50.
Gothmog
(145,562 posts)Last edited Wed Feb 3, 2016, 01:54 PM - Edit history (1)
Sanders is not polling well in states with less than 90+% white populations and so Sanders needed to do much better in Iowa http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanders-needs-more-than-the-tie-he-got-in-iowa/
Iowa and New Hampshire also lack nonwhite voters, who form a huge part of the Democratic base. Can Sanders win over some of these voters? Clinton has held a lead among nonwhites of nearly 40 percentage points in national polls. In Nevada, which votes after the New Hampshire primary, the electorate for the Democratic caucuses in 2008 was 15 percent Hispanic and 15 percent black. After Nevada comes South Carolina, where a majority of Democratic voters will be black. Our polls-only forecast in South Carolina gives Clinton a 94 percent chance to win, and our polls-plus forecast gives her a 96 percent chance to win.
Clinton will continue to be a favorite for the Democratic nomination if she continues to hold a large lead among nonwhite voters and basically breaks even with white voters, as she did in Iowa. Sanders, meanwhile, needs to cut into Clintons lead among nonwhites and expand his support among white voters beyond what he won in Iowa. If he does that, hell put himself in contention to win the nomination. If he doesnt, hell continue to be an underdog.
Kentonio
(4,377 posts)That has left the media looking out of touch throughout this whole race so far.
Sanders is running a populist insurgency campaign that started out with almost zero name recognition, almost no funding and no established organization. He's pushed out roots into all the states via his now massive volunteer base and has been wise enough to supplement that with paid staffers as his available funding grew, but by necessity this has been a fairly organic process. The success or failure of his campaign has been pinned firmly on success in the opening two states (and yes a virtual tie in Iowa is very much a success). He's invested hugely into these areas because if he didn't breakthrough there the race is done.
Now that Iowa is done and once NH landslides, he is in an excellent position to go all in for Nevada and SC on the back of the new media attention and THEN we see whether he has the ability to make major gains with Latinos and AA voters. Anyone assuming those voting groups are naturally locked in for Clinton is completely ignoring the path his campaign has taken through the process.
Don't get me wrong, his nomination is still more unlikely than it is likely. I'm just sick of hearing these supposed 'political experts' ignoring all the actual evidence from the last year and just repeating the same soundbites to each other.
Orrex
(63,224 posts)Props where due.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)once the primaries move away from these first small states...its all over....he did as well as he could expect.
Bohunk68
(1,364 posts)Amongst Millennials, he got amost 80% of their vote.
Dem2
(8,168 posts)It was a fun night not knowing who was the technical "winner" when I went to bed late last night.
Since the delegates are essentially tied, it's time to move on to the next voting day, which looks like a handy win for Bernie.
cui bono
(19,926 posts)Dem2
(8,168 posts)Analysis when I do it.
wildeyed
(11,243 posts)named "Barack" did it and actually won
Bobbie Jo
(14,341 posts)"Unprecedented" would involve an actual win.
This wasn't it...
DrDan
(20,411 posts)ecstatic
(32,731 posts)Why is he running to be the leader of a party he hates? Why didn't he run on an independent/ socialist ticket?
frylock
(34,825 posts)I suspect you know that.
AZ Progressive
(3,411 posts)Nice try
colsohlibgal
(5,275 posts)MSNBC worked overtime to promote her and ignore Bernie, DSM and the party machine did all it could to tilt it HRC's way. She had Wall Street big money in her pocket.
We'll see - if this win holds it will be razor thin, a virtual tie. In Iowa of all places. Let us see how New Hampshire comes out, see how they spin that.
It just strikes me as strange that everyday people are fine with supporting a candidate in the pocket of Wall Street
rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)Clinton got 23 and Sanders 21. And that's it. Winning Iowa only got Clinton a 2 vote lead.
Uncle Joe
(58,420 posts)Iowa's nightmare revisited: Was correct winner called?
Source: Des Moines Register
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141335242
I can understand Republicans hating democracy but it's particularly disappointing when Democrats follow suit.
Thanks for the thread, AZ Progressive.