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whirlygigspin

(3,803 posts)
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:17 AM Feb 2016

The Democrats Effectively Tied in Iowa, But Sanders Won the Future

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/02/iowa-bernie-sanders-won-his-partys-future.html

February 2, 2016
12:33 a.m by Eric Levitz

"Bernie Sanders owns the future of the Democratic Party...America’s favorite democratic socialist to a virtual tie: Sanders outperformed Clinton among voters 18 to 29 by 70 points, according to CNN’s entrance poll."
30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The Democrats Effectively Tied in Iowa, But Sanders Won the Future (Original Post) whirlygigspin Feb 2016 OP
Also this... Fearless Feb 2016 #1
How does that make sense? backtomn Feb 2016 #4
Because the default position is loyalsister Feb 2016 #7
It's of those who said trustworthiness Fearless Feb 2016 #10
Looking on the Republican side of those results... Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #6
Jeb is SO 'OVER'. John Poet Feb 2016 #11
So hard to choose among them, but I'd rather Jeb! than Cruz, I think. merrily Feb 2016 #12
Cruz is scary. tecelote Feb 2016 #14
He sure is. Serial killer scary. Enthusiast Feb 2016 #20
Considering JEB!'s role in the 2000 election theft Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #26
No more Bushes! Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #25
Hillary would be a disaster in the GE gyroscope Feb 2016 #2
We're just going to have to beat her. Enthusiast Feb 2016 #21
SEVENTY points difference among Millennials? Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #3
The party has been ignoring young people for decades. Odin2005 Feb 2016 #28
Repetitive problem then... Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #30
How do you win the future? backtomn Feb 2016 #5
For both Bernie and Hillary, the HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #8
Back it up and pair them up. Who are your winning picks for VP? countmyvote4real Feb 2016 #15
I hope she picks a total boob. Enthusiast Feb 2016 #22
Give me 4 years of Sanders gyroscope Feb 2016 #9
+1 n/t countmyvote4real Feb 2016 #13
Me too. Enthusiast Feb 2016 #23
good grief. he's an elder hopemountain Feb 2016 #16
I'm confused.... Helen Borg Feb 2016 #17
He must have reached the 15% threshold in some precincts Flying Squirrel Feb 2016 #19
Why don't we wait until we get to more diverse states before making such declarations. Metric System Feb 2016 #18
Actually, Bernie WON Iowa by not losing to Ms. Inevitable. in_cog_ni_to Feb 2016 #24
Iowa was a must win for Sanders Gothmog Feb 2016 #27
Bernie didn't win anything. The Democratic party lost. BillZBubb Feb 2016 #29

Fearless

(18,421 posts)
1. Also this...
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:20 AM
Feb 2016
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/IA

Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding whom to support today?

3.) Honest and trustworthy
Sanders 83%
Clinton 10%
O'Malley 5%
Uncommitted

backtomn

(482 posts)
4. How does that make sense?
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:30 AM
Feb 2016

You are up 83 to 10 in trustworthiness and lose? Are our voters crazy? Should we start wearing "Hillary Kick Me" signs on our backs? Yikes.

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)
7. Because the default position is
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:37 AM
Feb 2016

that people most don't trust politicians generally. "They all lie, anyway. Might as well vote for the one I know best." Etc....

Fearless

(18,421 posts)
10. It's of those who said trustworthiness
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 05:08 AM
Feb 2016

Was the most important of the four qualities suggested... 83% picked Bernie.

Overall 24% picked trustworthiness.

So about 20% of all voters picked Bernie because he was most trustworthy and that mattered most to the voters in question.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
6. Looking on the Republican side of those results...
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:35 AM
Feb 2016

JEB! will have to change that exclamation mark to a question mark

 

John Poet

(2,510 posts)
11. Jeb is SO 'OVER'.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 05:10 AM
Feb 2016

97 percent of the Iowa GOP said "NO!" to Jeb!

I am quite pleased with that result.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
26. Considering JEB!'s role in the 2000 election theft
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 08:11 AM
Feb 2016

it's poetic justice that he got his ass handed to him on the proverbial platter.

JEB? and Cruz are both horrible-- just in different ways.

 

gyroscope

(1,443 posts)
2. Hillary would be a disaster in the GE
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:23 AM
Feb 2016
Favorability Ratings Show Hillary Clinton Is Unelectable and Bernie Sanders Wins a General Election
Huffington Post

Democrats must win swing states in 2016 to prevent Trump or another Republican from sitting in the Oval Office. Since voters in general elections normally won't vote for a candidate they don't like or at least find trustworthy, it's imperative that a Democratic nominee hold positive favorability ratings going into Election Day.

I explain in great detail in my latest YouTube segment why Hillary Clinton is unelectable due to negative favorability polls nationwide and within swing states.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/h-a-goodman/favorability-ratings-show-hillary-clinton-is-unelectable_b_8388316.html

Odin2005

(53,521 posts)
28. The party has been ignoring young people for decades.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 09:43 AM
Feb 2016

It is why there seems to be so few Gen-X Dem politicians compared to Gen-X Republican politicians.

backtomn

(482 posts)
5. How do you win the future?
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 04:32 AM
Feb 2016

With a 74 yo candidate that will be unable to run after this election? If Hillary win the nomination, who picks up that torch? That is what I am worried about.

hopemountain

(3,919 posts)
16. good grief. he's an elder
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 06:28 AM
Feb 2016

and a wise and valuable one at that. he is dynamic, spirited, energetic, vigorous, active, lively & vital to our country's future. you speak as though he is at death's door. he's likely to live at least 15-20 more years.

 

Flying Squirrel

(3,041 posts)
19. He must have reached the 15% threshold in some precincts
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 07:09 AM
Feb 2016

Which allowed him to pick up some delegates. He'll release those delegates before the convention to vote as they see fit -- Since he's clearly angling for the VP slot, he'll most likely wait until it's obvious who's gonna win and then endorse the leader, but those pledged delegates will not be bound by his endorsement. At least that's the way I think it goes, but if someone has better info please correct me.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
24. Actually, Bernie WON Iowa by not losing to Ms. Inevitable.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 07:32 AM
Feb 2016

A tie is a win for Bernie!

Also, all precincts haven't reported and there's still one delegate left.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

Gothmog

(145,554 posts)
27. Iowa was a must win for Sanders
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 08:30 AM
Feb 2016

Sanders is only polling well in four states where the voting population is 90+% and if Sanders can not win in Iowa then he is in trouble in South Carolina and the Super Tuesday states http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/02/01/iowa_caucus_stakes_for_hillary_clinton_and_bernie_sanders.html

For Bernie, meanwhile, a Hillary victory would be an undeniable blow. With the exception of New Hampshire and his home state of Vermont, the Hawkeye State—with a Democratic electorate that skews white and liberal—represents the friendliest terrain on the map for Sanders. If Bernie can’t win in Iowa, Clinton and her allies will have no problem brushing off a Sanders win in New Hampshire next week as little more than the result of the senator being a near-native son in the Granite State. Sanders, then, would be in need of a win elsewhere to reset the race—and soon—but won’t have any obvious place to turn.

South Carolina and Super Tuesday will be fun

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
29. Bernie didn't win anything. The Democratic party lost.
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 09:43 AM
Feb 2016

A whole generation of young voters, energized by Sanders and his message will not be motivated in November to vote for Hillary. They just aren't attracted to conservaDems. A Hillary presidency (if it even happens) won't solidify them as part of the Democratic base.

Iowa was a battleground for the soul of the party and the bold, progressive side lost. The DLC, corporatist side won.

With Hillary as our candidate, the general election battle will be fought over convincing enough independent voters that, although they may have doubts about Hillary and may not like her, the repub alternative is abhorrent. That is going to be a tough race to win.

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