Accu-weather survey: 30% wouldn't travel through wintry weather to vote.

[Divernan]

Would inclement weather deter you from voting?
The Iowa Caucuses will begin the Presidential Election season on Feb.1, but a snowstorm moving across the central and northern Plains could impact travel for voters heading home.(AP Photo/ Dave Weaver, File)

Yes - I would not want to travel through wintry weather.
30%

No - Nothing would stop me from voting.
70%

Total votes: 2518

http://www.accuweather.com/en/features/trend/election_2016_iowa_caucus_snow_central_northern_plains_monday_night/55036213

Iowa caucuses 2016: Advancing snow may deter voters
By Mark Leberfinger, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer
January 31, 2016; 4:30 PM ET

The 2016 Presidential Election season officially gets underway on Monday evening, Feb. 1, with the Iowa caucuses, and advancing snow may affect voter turnout. Voters from Iowa's 99 counties will meet in caucuses as the first step to determine who will represent the state at the Republican and Democratic national conventions.

However, a winter storm moving in from the Intermountain West will unleash a blizzard from Colorado to Iowa and northern Michigan later on Monday into early Wednesday.

The voting prospects weather-wise could become precarious before the close of the caucuses because of the incoming storm system, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Matt Rinde stated. Snow and a wintry mix will arrive in part of the state on Monday afternoon and evening.

The caucuses are scheduled to be begin at 7:00 p.m. CST. "Enough snow and a wintry mix will occur to make roads slippery in the southern third of Iowa as people are heading home from the caucuses," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. "The worst of the storm will overspread the state later Monday night into Tuesday."

[JonLeibowitz]

1. We've already seen Hillary supporters suggesting young voters shouldn't drive home to caucus...

Their concern for their safety is touching. But it makes me want to vomit.

[tokenlib]

2. The students will know how important it is to go home..

I think they will go home..

[Divernan]

7. I think it's old folks like me who will stay home.

I'm 74 and have been a judge of elections twice a year, every year, for 12 years. Bad weather always depresses voter turnout.

I've observed that older voters are likeliest to stay home and not come to the polling place if the weather is very rainy, let alone the blizzard conditions forecast for Iowa. In my state, the polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m., so there are plenty of daylight hours for older/retired people to vote. In the Iowa caucuses, attendance involves night-time driving exclusively. The weather has a greater impact on our November general elections than our May primaries - when the temps are much colder, obviously.

Younger voters have to get out to go to work, regardless of the weather, and usually stop by to vote on their way to or from work, or over their lunch break.

According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Rathbun, "A swath of 6- to 12-inch snowfall with areas of 12-18 inches are expected from parts of Arizona, northern New Mexico, Utah and Colorado to portions of Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin, northern Michigan and southern Minnesota."

According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Becky Elliott, "Blizzard conditions will develop as the storm strengthens, so residents should keep that in mind as they make preparations over the weekend."

At the height of the storm, winds can gust to 50 mph with the potential for power outages.

RELATED:
Iowa caucuses 2016: Advancing snow may deter voters
Blizzard survival guide: These tips could help save your life
AccuWeather winter weather center

This is the type of storm that has the potential to shut down major highways. Snow of varying intensity and blowing and drifting snow with poor visibility will impact portions of interstates 25, 29, 35, 40, 70, 80, 90 and 94.

Even where sleet and rain mix in with the snow, travel can be difficult and very slippery.

The winter storm will arrive in parts of Iowa during Monday evening, where the caucuses for the 2016 Presidential Election will take place.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/features/trend/election_2016_iowa_caucus_snow_central_northern_plains_monday_night/55036213

[lunamagica]

29. And many more hoping that older voters stay home

"so they won't fall and break a hip"

[PoliticAverse]

3. Since when do 70% of people ever show up to vote? n/t

[Z_California]

4. A blizzard will be the worst case scenario

for Hillary. Her supporters don't seem to be motivated to show up for anything.

[Autumn]

8. I guess you saw this then

http://twitchy.com/2016/01/29/hillary-clinton-is-trying-to-spin-her-tiny-crowd-in-des-moines-iowa-as-standing-room-only-photos/

[JonLeibowitz]

10. Can't wait to see what the crowds for Bernie today will be.

[Autumn]

11. Going to be interesting for sure

a nail biter.

[Divernan]

13. If you put out 50 chairs, then 51 people =s standing room only

In the grand Clintonian tradition of "It depends what the meaning of 'is' is."

You can always count on the Clintons for slick definitions.

[speaktruthtopower]

5. Older Voters..

would disproportionately stay home. Advantage Sanders, although I've seen the opposite stated in the media.

[book_worm]

24. Wrong it is older voters who do show up

despite the weather.

[Travis_0004]

6. The cacus certainly changes things

I would swing by on my way home from work to vote in a primary, but if Im already home, I would probably just stay home.

[ancianita]

9. Weather Channel shows no major snow technically 'til after midnight.

[AZ Progressive]

15. Weather Underground is showing snow right about 8 pm

[ancianita]

23. ...

Uh oh.

[madokie]

12. That 30%

would more than likely be older Hillary supporters and not the younger Bernie supporter. Young people aren't so afraid to drive in inclement weather. My experience is that is.

[Divernan]

14. Absolutely - enthusiasm will also factor in.

And we've all seen the massive amounts of enthusiasm from Bernie's supporters versus HRC & Bill's embarrassingly sparse turnouts - Her claimed crowd of 200 included the press pool & campaign workers.

Pollster Frank Lutz tweeted: ✔
@FrankLuntz

Iowa not looking good for Hillary.

Her crowd barely looks bigger than the press pool. (Bernie events get thousands)
1:43 PM - 29 Jan 2016

[madokie]

17. In a way

I feel sad for Hillary. she wants this so bad and yet it just doesn't seem to be in the cards for her.

You can bet the long knifes will be coming out though. If I was a betting man I'd bet on that anyway

[redstateblues]

19. Frank Luntz? What does Hannity think?

[book_worm]

25. Quoting Frank Luntz--wonderful

[Divernan]

16. National Weather Service: hazardous weather warning

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI

A WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT DURING THAT
PERIOD FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL IOWA INTO FAR NORTHWEST
ILLINOIS. HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH PERIODS OF
SLEET. A STRONG WIND GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOW
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AND ADD TO THE TRAVEL HAZARD.

SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS STORM.
MONITOR UPDATED FORECASTS FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=IAZ064&warncounty=IAC103&firewxzone=IAZ064&local_place1=2%20Miles%20SW%20Lone%20Tree%20IA&product1=Hazardous+Weather+Outlook&lat=41.4667&lon=-91.4463#.Vq6q2kCnaDE

Des Moines: A chance of rain and snow before 9pm, then snow. Low around 29. Blustery, with an east northeast wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.6005&lon=-93.6091#.Vq6rxUCnaDE

So you have a forecast of rain and snow before 9 p.m., turning to snow after 9 pm. - i.e., icy highways.

[SheilaT]

18. If the storm started earlier in the day

and was really bad, say like the recent east coast blizzard, would there be any thought of rescheduling the caucuses?

[Live and Learn]

20. 30% of Hillary supporters maybe. But Bernie supporters will go come hell or highwater.

It is called enthusiasm.

[Ferd Berfel]

21. 30% of Whom? Bernie People or HIllary people?

Bet these people show up...............and drag others with them

[Live and Learn]

22. +1000 nt

[Renew Deal]

28. According to the latest poll; those people aren't as enthusiastic as Hillary's people.

[Ino]

26. "I would not want to travel through wintry weather."

is not exactly the same as "I would not travel through wintry weather."

I do not want to drive in snow, but I often do.

[Renew Deal]

27. Hasn't this storm been exaggerated?

It's supposed to start after the caucus starts.