Voter Registration Doesn’t Point to Huge Iowa Surge

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump are counting on a surge of new, irregular and independent voters to turn out in Iowa and propel them over rivals with greater support among traditional caucus voters.

Yet the pace of new voter registration in the Iowa caucuses is reason to question whether a huge turnout is really in the offing.

Most striking is the relatively slow increase in the number of voters registered as Democrats, far slower than it was ahead of the 2008 caucus. The increase for Democrats this year looks much more like the increase for Republicans ahead of the 2012 contest.

The increase in registration among Republicans in recent months looks much healthier in comparison, and could be consistent with a higher turnout than in recent cycles.

...

Most of the increase in turnout for Mr. Obama came from voters who were already registered but hadn’t previously participated in the caucus, not from people who had not yet registered to vote.



http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/29/upshot/surge-for-sanders-or-trump-in-iowa-voter-registration-doesnt-suggest-it.html?_r=0

[Punkingal]

1. They have EDR in Iowa.

[Lucinda]

2. I think they can register on caucus day too....but I would have thought that the Sanders

campaign would have had people on it at the rallys....

[Qutzupalotl]

3. They can register at the caucus, so this is premature.

Let's see what the figures look like on Feb. 2.