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Hillary is leading in the last 5 Iowa polls in a row
+5, 11, 8, 3, 3
The last poll Sanders lead in was from 1/21-1/24.
Could Sanders pull it out with a combination of O'Malley supporters, ground game, and undecideds breaking their way? Yes. But I think it's going to be close either way. Seltzer said during the press conference that O'Malley supporters were so few that they didn't really move the numbers either way after reallocation.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html#polls
