Do polls reach people who only have a cell phone?

[awake]

Is it possible that we have no real idea of what's going on if polls do not count people with out a land line?

[TIME TO PANIC]

1. They've never polled me.

No, they probably don't have a fucking clue, especially that Nate Silver dweeb.

[retrowire]

2. The latest iowa poll

contacted phone numbers that were listed on peoples voter registration forms so it could be cell phones and land lines.

But most millenials and younger tend to not answer the phone for strange numbers. The poll said that it polled all ages and such... But I don't know that it polled them evenly.

Either way, look at it this way.

If the poll is CORRECT, then we're in a dead heat and voter turnout will win it for Bernie.

If the poll is incorrect then, Bernie definitely wins.

[JustAnotherGen]

21. Maybe that's why some of us never get contacted

Its optional (phone number on application) in my state and I've never placed it on there.

[A Little Weird]

3. It probably depends on the pollster but at least some do

I was polled a year or so ago and I only have a cell. But I learned my lesson and now don't answer any number I don't recognize.

[CorporatistNation]

16. I made a Bunch Of Voter Calls Last Month To Iowa...

Cell phones are NOT answered maybe 1 in 40 at best so trying to ascertain the tendencies of cell phone only folks is a joke. There is no fudge coefficient that can factor out several age cohorts who do not answer the phone for strange numbers. Monday will tell the tale...

Have concerns over Microsoft reporting apparatus... Certain to be a means of "massaging" the caucus results!

[onehandle]

4. What about people who don't have land lines or cell phones?

Is it possible that we have no real idea of what's going on if polls do not count people with out a land line or cell phone?

[NowSam]

5. Filing stadiums is a better indicator

if you ask me. Who fills stadiums? Bernie. Who stands in empty bowling allies? Ms. Clinton.

I believe my own eyes versus what some poll says. In California I see bumper stickers for one candidate only. Bernie. lots of them. I believe my own eyes and not what the media tells me to believe.

[brooklynite]

11. Just like Howard Dean's Iowa Caucus win in 2004...

[NowSam]

17. I guess we'll know Monday

I don't think Dean was as big as Sanders. This is a movement.

[Travis_0004]

6. I had a poll call me

I was at work, so I didn't take the poll, but they do call cell phones.

[Live and Learn]

7. Most people don't answer calls from numbers they don't recognize on their cell phones anyway. nt

[olddots]

10. who answers calls from numbers you don't know

either on a land line or cell line ? I know know no one who has ever been polled in 50 years .

[LexVegas]

8. No. Science and math people is stupid. nt

[awake]

9. Do you mean "are" stupid instead of "is" stupid

Sorry if my question was off base but I am trying to find out some info here I had read on this site that part of the reason the polling was off in Iowa in 2008 was because at that time polls did not include cell phones.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. Here is a link to IA polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html#polls


Out of the last seven polls, five were landline/cell phone, one was landline only, and one I am not sure.

[awake]

13. Thanks very helpful

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. You are welcome

I don't even know how you can do a landline only poll in this age.

I only have a landline because it was actually cheaper to have one as part of a cable/internet package.

I can go weeks without using it.

[mythology]

14. It is poll dependent

There are different rules for calling cell phones in that it can't be a robodial, so it's more expensive. Most polls that I've seen have polled more land lines, but have included cell phones.

[Recursion]

20. They all list it at the end, too

Nowadays most do a land line sample, a cell phone sample, and an online sample.

[Anfibio]

18. Which specific poll?

?

[Recursion]

19. Most do, yes

They generally list that in the methodology. For that matter many polls also poll some people with neither cell phones nor land lines.