The most accurate Iowa Democratic poll has just come out!
Last edited Sat Jan 30, 2016, 10:38 PM - Edit history (2)
The final Des Moines Register Iowa Democratic Caucus poll has historically been the best predictor of the final results. The results of their final poll was published by the paper on their Website at 6:07 local time this afternoon and it there is good news for Hillary Clinton fans.The Poll shows that Hillary has 3% lead over Bernie Sanders.
Clinton is the top pick for 45 percent of likely Democratic caucusgoers, with Sanders at 42 percent, The Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll shows.
Clinton's support is up 3 percentage points from earlier this month, and Sanders' is 2 percentage points higher.
Hillary Clinton has kept a tight grip on her slim lead over Bernie Sanders in the waning hours leading into the Iowa caucuses, a new Iowa Poll shows.
Clinton, a former first lady and former secretary of state, wins a majority among caucusgoers who are 65 and older, Catholics and moderates. Sanders, a U.S. senator representing Vermont, wins a majority of those under 35, first-time caucusgoers and political independents.
"Clinton's voters are more certain and much more likely to have caucused before," Axelrod said. "Bernie's organizational task, counting so heavily on first-time caucusgoers — many of them young — is greater."
Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley snags 3 percent of likely caucusgoers' support. He had 4 percent support in early January.
Clinton keeps slim edge over Sanders
Sanders supporters will claim that Bernie can easily make up the difference with a good turn out, but the final Des Moines Register has an excellent track record of picking the ultimate winner. Regardless, you can bet Bernie supporters wish that the numbers were reversed.
EDIT: Discussion of Poll Accuracy
Some have asked for information confirming how accurate this poll is. I stole this link from the reply by DemocrateSinceBirth below with the link from a Politico article:
The recent track record of her firm, Selzer & Company, is impressive: Selzer, who has polled for the Des Moines Register for decades, was the only pollster to nail the order of Democratic candidates in 2004. Her final poll before the 2008 caucuses accurately predicted that a surge of first-time caucusgoers would propel Barack Obama to a decisive victory. Selzer saw former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum’s surge in the waning days before the 2012 GOP caucuses when few others did.
(snip)
“I will take the Des Moines Register poll, which is the gold standard for polls in Iowa,” Sanders said in late October.
Ann Selzer's secret sauce
= new reply since forum marked as read
The Sanders campaign is doing some incredible things no one would ever dare believe!
Even the ones who aren't leaving town. 
who insist that it must be their preferred candidate or none. 
I strongly suspect our Bernie-or-no-one contingent has few liberals and that that is the reason for that striking difference.
Most berners here may be leftist, but their emotional behavior and reasoning are definitely pretty consistent with those of extremists in the right wing. And not at all with liberal reasoning.
I wasn't here for other elections, so I'm very curious about how many might end up behind Trump or Rubio if Bernie loses the nomination. Also about how many might become more open to other ideas if the influence of the anti-liberals was lessened.
Btw, I saw your "Hillary calm and confident" post. I find it easy to believe that she may be a very good president. Women tend to be pretty hard-nosed about problems and less inclined to just work around them than men. Let it be so!
Her superior ground game will clinch it.
Cheers! 
And they aren't covered in this poll, my money is on them being Hillary voters.
