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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:15 PM Jan 2016

Selzer: Clinton support is more solid than Sander's

Selzer said the data suggest Clinton's support is more solid than Sanders'.

The poll shows 83 percent of Clinton’s caucus supporters have made up their minds going into Monday’s vote, up from 69 percent earlier this month.

“That’s huge,” Selzer said. “That’s a number any candidate would like to see.”

...

A majority say they've grown more comfortable with Clinton winning the nomination and serving as commander in chief, while slightly less than half say the same about Sanders.

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http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/01/30/clinton-keeps-slim-edge-over-sanders-latest-iowa-poll/79537020/

Lots more data and breakouts at the link. Clinton supporters have solidified ranks since New Year. Bernie has his work cut out for him.

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Selzer: Clinton support is more solid than Sander's (Original Post) Godhumor Jan 2016 OP
Everything I've heard, even from the candidates, says it all depends on turnout! napi21 Jan 2016 #1
You'd be surprised loyalsister Jan 2016 #2

napi21

(45,806 posts)
1. Everything I've heard, even from the candidates, says it all depends on turnout!
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:25 PM
Jan 2016

Most of the people who always come out to caucus are hard core ??Dems voters who would be more inclined to vote for Clinton. The people attracted to Bernie are mostly those who are either NEW voters just turned eligible to vote, and those who just never had enough interest to bother to get out the door on caucus night. IF those new enthused voters go this time, Bernie will win. If they don't, he won't.

loyalsister

(13,390 posts)
2. You'd be surprised
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 08:44 PM
Jan 2016

I talked to some people from Iowa, and there are a lot of farmers who are angry about NAFTA, many other people are mad that they have not felt the economic recovery. The maligned "low information voters" have been informing themselves because they are mad.

Anger is a motivator for these voters and they are very serious about wanting something to finally change rather than a defense of the status quo and rejection of hope.

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