Mitt Romney is now a long shot
Mitt Romney is now a long shot
By Jamelle Bouie
It’s hard to contest the view that Mitt Romney is losing. He’s trailing in all national polls, including ones friendly to Republicans, like Rasmussen. He’s trailing in all swing state polls, and the latest Post polls show him on the verge of losing in critical states like Ohio and perhaps even Florida. He’s at a cash disadvantage against President Obama, and conservative Super PACs lack the focus and direction necessary to make a real impact. And of course, Obama maintains an on-the-ground advantage. In the ten states most likely to determine the election, Obama has a 2-to-1 lead in field offices.
Still, lots of campaigns go through hard times. The question is whether Romney can win. Writing in the Wall Street Journal, Gerald Seib makes a case that echoes the pundit consensus: yes, Romney is behind, but six weeks — the time between now and November 6 — is an “eternity” in politics.
Seib offers three reasons for why we should see this as a close race. First, that Republican voters are highly motivated for the election. He cites the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, which finds:
But among those who voice the highest interest in the election — in other words, those who seem most intensely interested in voting — Mr. Romney leads by three percentage points.
Read more:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/post/mitt-romney-is-now-a-long-shot/2012/09/25/54a48d04-0726-11e2-9eea-333857f6a7bd_blog.html
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