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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFlorida Times Union:Obama leads Romney 49%-46% in new Florida Poll
Florida Times Union (Jacksonville, FL. Newspaper)-Overwhelming majorities with black and Hispanic voters have helped President Barack Obama to a slim lead in the Times-Unions Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research Florida Presidential Poll released Tuesday.
Among likely voters, 49 percent favor Obama for Novembers election and 46 percent like former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
One percent backed other candidates and 4 percent were undecided.
The poll of 540 Floridians has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
Obama won in 2008 by energizing the youth vote, but Floridians in the 18-to-29-year-old age bracket favor Romney, 48-38. Conversely, seniors favor the president by 47-46.
Other demographics were more typical:
■ More men (48-43) favored Romney; women (55-44) chose Obama.
■ Blacks (87-12) and Hispanics (66-34) tilted heavily to the president; whites (56-38) are equally strong for Romney.
■ Republicans (86-12) are overwhelming for Romney and Democrats (88-8) are almost exclusively for Obama. Independents (45-41) break for Romney.
Read more at Jacksonville.com: http://jacksonville.com/news/2012-09-25/story/president-obama-holds-slight-lead-over-mitt-romney-times-union-florida-poll#ixzz27XGy29KY
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Florida Times Union:Obama leads Romney 49%-46% in new Florida Poll (Original Post)
aaaaaa5a
Sep 2012
OP
NO SHIT!!!! this poll is pure bullshit no way Romney is winning with that group
bigdarryl
Sep 2012
#5
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)1. Still way too close! Voter suppression will nullify these results!
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)2. Romney is winning 18 to 29 year olds 48 to 38?
In poll after poll, President Obama leads with that age group. This poll is definitely off if they are coming out with numbers like that. 10 points ahead in that group for Romney? I don't think so.
Marsala
(2,090 posts)3. Probably just an outlier due to a small sample
So Obama might be a couple of points further ahead.
Romney is not getting 12% of the Florida black vote either.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)5. NO SHIT!!!! this poll is pure bullshit no way Romney is winning with that group
TroyD
(4,551 posts)6. Yes, Romney leads with youth & Obama leads with seniors
So those anomalies seem to cancel each other out in this poll.
The important thing is the trendline and overall lead.
Obama has been ahead in almost all Florida polls lately.