Race Ratings Chart for 2012 House Elections

[TroyD]

Examples:

Colo.6-Coffman (R) is listed as Tossup

Ill.-8-Walsh (R) is listed as Likely Democratic

Fla.-18-West (R) is listed as Leans Republican

http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html

[dsc]

1. If we could sweep the toss ups

which is hardly a sure thing, that would give us 18 seats. But after that it is tough sledding. We would have to also win all of the Democratic leaners and over half of the GOP leaners. That is a tall order.

[Tx4obama]

2. Here are THREE more House links

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - House Chart: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/

Election Projection HOUSE Map: http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/house12.php
Note: the newest changes are listed on the right side of the page.

Real Clear Politics HOUSE Map: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html

[ProgressiveEconomist]

4. NY Times: Of 22 tossup seats and 33 leaning R, Ds need at least 34

According to the Times, 158 seats are solidly Democratic and 26 lean Democratic. If Democrats should win all 184 of those solid and leaning Democratic seats, they'd still need at least 34 more to reach 218 for a majority.

Those 34 additional seats would have to come from the 22 tossup districts and 33 Republican-leaning districts listed below. The Times has a sentence or two detailing the situation in each of the 81 seats in play. Losing any of the 26 districts that lean Democratic would add to the minimum 34 needed from tossup and lean-R districts to put Nancy Pelosi back in the Speaker's chair.

81 SEATS IN PLAY
26 Leaning Dem.
22 Tossup
33 Leaning Rep.

From http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house

"A New York Times analysis of the most competitive House races in the 2012 election.

At least 218 seats needed for majority

191 Current Democratic seats
241 Current Republican Seats

158 Solid Democratic
196 Solid Republican

81 SEATS IN PLAY
26 Leaning Dem.
22 Tossup
33 Leaning Rep.

22 seats Tossup
Arizona 1st
Arizona 2nd
California 7th

California 41st
California 52nd
Connecticut 5th

Florida 26th
Georgia 12th
Illinois 12th

Iowa 3rd
Michigan 1st
Minnesota 8th

New Hampshire 2nd
New York 1st
New York 11th

New York 24th
New York 27th
North Carolina 8th

Ohio 6th
Ohio 16th
Pennsylvania 12th
Utah 4th

33 seats Leaning Republican
California 10th
California 21st
California 36th

Colorado 3rd
Colorado 6th
Florida 2nd

Florida 10th
Florida 16th
Florida 18th

Illinois 13th
Indiana 8th
Iowa 4th

Michigan 3rd
Michigan 7th
Michigan 11th

Minnesota 2nd
Nevada 3rd
New Hampshire 1st

New Jersey 3rd
New York 18th
New York 19th

New York 22nd
New York 23rd
North Carolina 11th

North Carolina 13th
Ohio 7th
Pennsylvania 6th

Pennsylvania 7th
Pennsylvania 8th
Texas 23rd

Virginia 2nd
Wisconsin 7th
Wisconsin 8th

Race profiles by JENNIFER STEINHAUER, JONATHAN WEISMAN, EMMARIE HUETTEMAN, ASHLEY SOUTHALL, SARAH WHEATON, IAN LOVETT, MONICA DAVEY, KIRK JOHNSON, JADA SMITH, RAYMOND HERNANDEZ, JENNIFER MEDINA, STEVEN YACCINO, ROBBIE BROWN and MALIA WOLLAN"

[Stuart G]

5. Thanks for posting this...K and R...nt