2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOdds of holding Senate have been improving recently. Anyone know about the House?
Nebraska and North Dakota are probably lost causes this time around, but it's looking like we may hold Wisconsin, Montana, and Connecticut, and Missouri, all of which were looking tough last month. And we've got a good chance for pickups in Massachusetts and Indiana(!) and an outside chance at Nevada and Arizona. Probably not enough for a filibuster-proof majority, but hey! Keeping the Senate Democratic can only do good.
What about the House? I haven't seen many detailed polls yet about the odds of taking it back. Has anyone seen any recent polling numbers? With a Democratic Congress we'd have better shot at getting some more stuff done next year instead of all this crap now.
Jeff In Milwaukee
(13,992 posts)And I wish Nate would get off the schneid and give us something.
elleng
(130,980 posts)Give U.S. a Congress that works for US!
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NRaleighLiberal
(60,015 posts)Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)Real Clear Politics HOUSE Map: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html
Election Projection HOUSE Map: http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/house12.php
Note: the newest changes are listed on the right side of the page.
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - House Chart: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)longship
(40,416 posts)We see them, but only close to the election, and only in those districts which have a good chance to turn around.
That's why the House races always produces numerous surprises. Pay attention to this on election night because it may give a hint about the night's general outcome. If there are multiple R->D flips in the House when EST polls close, the Reps may be having a bad night.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)Democrats need to win 25 seats to take it back. I think we could take back some but 25 seats is really hard to overcome. I think the Senate probably stays Dem, the House stays Repub. There was a lot of damage done in 2010 but slowly but surely we could take back the House.