2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRomney’s nightmare scenario
by Ezra Klein
September 24, 2012
To understand the Romney campaigns nightmare scenario, you need to understand the Romney campaigns much-vaunted finances. Its become conventional wisdom that the Romney campaign has more money than the Obama campaign. But thats not quite right.
SNIP
But heres the catch: Romney only controls the money raised by his campaign. The money raised by the RNC is controlled by the RNC. The money raised by Karl Roves American Crossroads super PAC is controlled by Rove and his partners. And while these groups want Romney to be president, they are not solely devoted to the task of electing Romney as president. If they are devoted to anything, its to blocking Obama.
Which leads to Romneys nightmare scenario: If things dont turn around for Romney soon, those super PACs may give up on the task of electing Romney as president and turn to the task of encircling Obamas second term with a Republican House and a Republican Senate.
More:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/09/24/romneys-nightmare-scenario/
mucifer
(23,547 posts)unblock
(52,243 posts)they can't really just abandon rmoney to twist in the wind and focus on down ticket races, because a viable top of the ticket is a HUGE factor in getting out the vote.
republicans can't turn out for their senate candidates if they're not going to turn out to vote for rmoney.
What was the strategy for the RNC in 1996 when they knew Bob Dole was going to lose to Clinton?
Did they still keep funding Dole in order to keep the other races viable?
unblock
(52,243 posts)but i certainly don't recall them trashing dole the way they are trashing rmoney.
i mean, republicans are using their free media time to make statements that hurt rmoney.
remarkably and uncharacteristically undisciplined.
bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)And THERE ARE NO COATTAILS because Romney is LOSING in all swing states. I'm starting to think the republicans will be lucky to hold Arizona and tennessee.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)But as Ezra Klein showed at the Washington Post today in this graphic from RCP, Romney has not been able to overtake Obama all year:
DCBob
(24,689 posts)pathetic rich idiots.
albondigas111
(7 posts)Kteachums
(331 posts)Democrats didn't vote the last election. We allowed those idiots to get in office and now we need to take them out. We cannot allow those scumbags in the house to make laws for all Americans. It is crazy! People have been scared into voting. Some of the laws these idiots have tried to pass are nightmares!
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)Oregon had the largest turn out for a midterm since the 80's at least. I'm just not in the mood to take part of the blame for what was a regional neglect of duty.
Kteachums
(331 posts)I know we didn't have a good turn out in that election.
Frustratedlady
(16,254 posts)that has to be humiliating to the Republicans, the Kochs and all the other blowhards who thought they could BUY the presidency and congress. I hope they fail and fail big or 2012 (or 2010) will be the end of somewhat honest elections from now on...probably, the end of the U.S.A. as we know it.
I have to believe in the common sense of the 98%.
Darchan
(12 posts)Hope this is true (somewhat) -- at least the Romney part. We have to give Obama a Democratic Congress, or it'll be gridlock and no progress again.