My predictions for elections

[mgcgulfcoast]

senate will be 52-48 democrats
house will be 221-214 republicans
obama will win with 50.9% of the vote.

thats how i see it now. things will be tight and if we can get lucky we can take the house.

[monmouth]

1. Might need to visit the eye doctor. Just sayin'...n/t

[Tx4obama]

2. Obama needs 270 electoral votes to win - I predict he will get 333. n/t

[mgcgulfcoast]

3. alot depends on the next jobs report

if the jobs report shows 250-350k job growth in sept then i will up my predictions.

[Tx4obama]

7. I do not think the jobs report will have any effect on the election.

The jobs report is just a talking point that the Republicans TRY to use to drive down Obama's numbers.

In my opinion, the average voter is not paying too much attention to the numbers 'month to month'.

[mgcgulfcoast]

11. it will make a difference if it 250k+

i think in that case people will get the idea the economy is moving ahead and if the stock market keeps going up it will help alot.

[gopiscrap]

12. I predict Obama with 311

[demosincebirth]

4. Obama will have long coat tails. nt

[mgcgulfcoast]

6. in some places

i expect he will give warren a win in massachusettes.

[Kteachums]

13. This would be wonderful!

[MFM008]

5. Is that you Mr. Silver

lol. I say Obama by 4 pts. I also say a couple of state surprises. I also say a few pundit heads explode...

[mgcgulfcoast]

9. 4 is possible

right now id say 50.9 for obama, 47.5 for romney and the rest 3rd parties.

[Avalux]

8. Can you tell me how you calculated those numbers or are they just wild guesses? n/t

[mgcgulfcoast]

10. just hunches basically

for instance, historically the party of an incumbent president running for re-election gets 10-12 house seats. looks like reps will pick up 3-4 senate seats while dems will gain 2-3.

[SnakebiteSnakebite74]

14. Obama wins election- Rove wins count

mark my words.

[longship]

15. How about a prediction where the rubber meets the road?

Since US presidents are not elected by popular vote.

Just like these national polls, useless.

So, what will be Obama's EV count? (the only number that matters)

[Drunken Irishman]

16. Obama will win 347 electoral votes and 53% of the popular vote.