New Ohio Poll: Obama 51% Romney 46%

[aaaaaa5a]

President Barack Obama leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney among Ohio voters by 5 percentage points — 51-46 percent — according to the latest Ohio Newspaper Poll. And the difference may be driven by the state economy.

When survey participants were asked which candidate would do the best job of improving economic conditions in Ohio, Obama also prevailed by 5 points.

Romney holds a slight lead among men, 49 to 48, while Obama leads significantly among women, 53-43. Women often seem more in line with the president on policy issues; a majority believed in keeping or expanding the health-care law, and a higher percentage have a favorable impression of the auto-industry bailout than do men (although a majority of men also favored it).

The president leads among adults under 30, by 62 to 35 percent, although the sample in the poll was small. Obama also has a majority of other adults under 65 in the poll. Romney, meanwhile, is the favorite of voters 65 and older.

Romney holds the edge among white voters, 51-46. Obama leads among African-Americans, 92 to 8 percent.

Only 36 percent of those surveyed said they were worse off than four years ago, as opposed to 41 percent who felt they were in about the same shape as in 2008, and 23 percent who thought they were better off.




Full story:

http://www.ohio.com/news/local/obama-has-the-lead-in-ohio-newspaper-poll-1.336578



http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/22/1135385/-Obama-up-51-46-1-in-Ohio

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. TY

.

[fujiyama]

2. I don't remember the last poll I saw with Obama trailing in Ohio

I'm still frustrated because I haven't seen a poll with a lead larger than 5-6 points, but if a few rumors are true (that Romney is close to giving up on the state), well he's screwed. If Obama wins both VA and OH, it's over.

[TroyD]

4. 'I'm still frustrated because I haven't seen a poll with a lead larger than 5-6 points'

A 5-6 point lead in OHIO is excellent, particularly if it stays that way until November 6. We have to remember that Obama won Ohio by 5 points in 2008 (I think it was 4.7 to be precise), so unless Romney's support totally collapses it may be unrealistic to expect it to go much higher than that.

[torotoro]

6. In 2008...

Looking at the OH polls from 2008 i noticed Obama never really separated from McCain until after the debates. Before that McCain pretty much owned the polls in Ohio (4-6 points). Just before election day Obama was ahead by only +2%. But on average it seems Obama was averaging about 7 after the 1st debate.

These debates seem incredibly critical.

[smorkingapple]

3. It's over and this is why Obama is now in WI

Just to make sure they can't steal it since he doesn't need to invest as much in OH anymore..

[torotoro]

5. I wish it were a tad higher to compensate for potential Bradley Effect

and voter disenfranchising shenanigans on election day

[Orlandodem]

7. Obama needs to run ads in OH reminding voters

Of Romney's support if Kasich's anti-union law that was repealed by the good citizens of the state.

[DCBob]

8. This pretty much locks it in as long as Obama wins all the other Kerry 2004 states.

Last edited Sun Sep 23, 2012, 08:53 AM - Edit history (1)

Which should be "easy".