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In 2008, Obama didn't Beat Hillary in Iowa in any polls until the very end of January (Original Post) berni_mccoy Jan 2016 OP
Deja vu. TIME TO PANIC Jan 2016 #1
Thanks for the op. Good to know. Punkingal Jan 2016 #2
The Iowa caucuses were on January 3 that year. frazzled Jan 2016 #3
End of January? The Iowa caucuses were on Jan 3rd. Cali_Democrat Jan 2016 #4

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
3. The Iowa caucuses were on January 3 that year.
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 06:23 PM
Jan 2016

And there were 8 candidates. Obama won with 38% of the vote. Five days later, on Jan. 8, Clinton took NH. So I don't know exactly why you are looking at Iowa polls from the end of January.

Yes, his chances increased after having won Iowa. But it was a long, hard-fought battle, with the popular vote neck and neck for many months. Clinton actually got more votes, but Obama got more delegates--it's a complex math. Could happen again this year, who knows. But my experience is that history rarely repeats itself. Rare, but possible.

 

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)
4. End of January? The Iowa caucuses were on Jan 3rd.
Thu Jan 21, 2016, 06:26 PM
Jan 2016

But I'll go ahead and rec this anyways.....because.....Bern baby!

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