Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

NRaleighLiberal

(60,015 posts)
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 08:28 AM Sep 2012

Ah, fall. It's here- the season - and RMoney's polling numbers. Some Sat AM tidbits -

Real Clear Politics now has it as Obama 48.6, Money 44.7 - +3.9.

Last pres. election on this date it was Obama 48.1, McBraindead 45.4 with the RCP aggregate poll, +2.4 for Obama

538, Nate Silver's blog, has it 51.1% to 47.8% in the Nov 6 forecast (+3.3) (76.9% win chance), and 51.7 and 46.9 (+4.8) on the Nowcast, with a 95.4% chance of winning, as well as a near 80% chance of keeping the Senate

The Princeton election website has Obama with 260 safe EVs, but overall at 329 EVs and +3.8%, with NC and FL still too close to call

TPM's polltracker shows a broken link - maybe being updated.

Not a bad Sat AM, but still lots of work to do to GOTV - and esp in the House races.

Have a great Saturday, all!

2 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Ah, fall. It's here- the season - and RMoney's polling numbers. Some Sat AM tidbits - (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Sep 2012 OP
THANKS! Cosmocat Sep 2012 #1
RCP -- Obama:247 Romney:191 Toss Ups:100 DCBob Sep 2012 #2

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
2. RCP -- Obama:247 Romney:191 Toss Ups:100
Sat Sep 22, 2012, 09:44 AM
Sep 2012

but several of those toss ups are leaning Obama.. CO, VA, OH, NV, NH, IA

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Ah, fall. It's here- the...