So looking into the crystal ball, what's going to happen on Super Tuesday?

[XemaSab]

Super Tuesday is on March 6th, and the states that will be voting are Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Vermont, and Virginia.

Note well that in 2008, Super Tuesday was on February 5th (so much earlier in the cycle) and Romney won Alaska, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and Utah.

The yellow states here are states that Romney won in 2008. McCain got the green states, and Huckabee got the blue states.



Note well that Colorado and Minnesota have already gone for Santorum this year, and Romney hasn't managed to capture any of Huckabee's states.

Just off the top of my head, I think Romney has a good chance of getting Idaho, Massachusetts, and Vermont. If Gingrich doesn't get Georgia, he'll drop out. Oklahoma and Tennessee are probably going to go for Santorum. This leaves Alaska, North Dakota, Ohio, and Virginia as the states that I don't have a sense about, especially considering that Alaska and North Dakota might be areas where Ron Paul does well.

Any thoughts?

[1ProudAtheist]

1. More Of The Same

complete lunacy will prevail.

[AlinPA]

2. Santorum will take all the southern states incl WV plus KS, OK, TX, IN.

[JoePhilly]

3. Only Mitt and Ron Paul are on the Virgina Ballot.

Newt and Santorum screwed up and did not get on.

[XemaSab]

10. lol epic

Maybe Paul will squeeze one out.

[Ruby the Liberal]

4. I am hoping for a Ron Paul SWEEP

Romney scorched the earth with Gingrich in Florida, and now has no choice but to burn a few tens-o-millions more on Santorum for the next 3 weeks. Let Ron Paul sweep SuperT so that the endless pit of wallet draining and shit slinging goes on for a few more months and in all 4 directions.

[Alexander]

5. I think southern states will be more likely to vote for Gingrich.

He's definitely been hitting the I'm-a-Southerner notes in his campaign - I remember the South Carolina debate where he said "It's good to be home in the South" - and I understand the Gingrich campaign is going to seriously contest Tennessee and Oklahoma, and of course his home state of Georgia.

Polls are also showing Gingrich narrowly ahead in a three-way tie in Ohio. Ohio looks like it could be extremely volatile in the next month, but I expect Gingrich to spend lots of time and money there to prove that he can win big swing states outside the South.

With Virginia, it's only Romney and Paul on the ballot. Paul could pull off an upset there akin to Santorum's wins last night, but I suspect the Romney campaign will aggressively target the state if they get even the slightest indication that Paul will do well there. Romney can't really afford to be embarrassed in Virginia like he was last night, and it's a must-win for him in November.

North Dakota and Alaska are anyone's guess. If Romney's campaign starts falling apart at the seams, Paul or someone else could win a shocking upset.

[DCBob]

6. Depends what happens in Arizona and Michigan.

If Santorum can win one of those he might generate some major momentum and break Rmoney's inevitability. If that happens then all bets are off for SuperTues.

[LiberalEsto]

7. All the state's will turn teal blue

the Fab 4 candidates will be raptured

and Tea Party heads will explode.

[denem]

8. Rmoney will carpet bomb, and win the most, if not all.

Rmoney actually has a substantial ground game going in the Super Tuesday states, and has done more months.

If there is a whiff of an upset, I think Mitt's Wall Street boys and gals will be in like Flynn.

[K Gardner]

9. At least TN is an Open Primary, which means dems who so wished

could vote for one of these losers. I'm not sure where the 'screw up the vote' would be going, tho.

[Major Hogwash]

11. Santorum will be all over the place.

And it will be one hell of a mess before the night is over for the GOP to clean up.
Santorum might take Tennessee. Might.
But, Oklahoma is a toss-up state.
Oklahoma is not Colorado, as they have their own brand of fire-breathing religiousosity there.

As for Gingrich, he has to win in Georgia, or else all is lost for him.
He'll probably take Ohio, too.

The news station on tv here announced on Monday that Romney is coming to Idaho next week on the 17th, so he will win big here, I'm sure, unfortunately.
And he'll take Massachusetts, due to past alliances he had with that state, and he'll probably win in Vermont also, since it is small and so far to the North.
But, I also think Romney will have a hellova good chance in Alaska, North Dakota, and even in Virginia, as well. Sister Sarah backlash is sort of evident now in Alaska, the people in North Dakota aren't going to go out in the cold weather and mess around electing someone unimportant, and the people of Virginia are too smart to fall for the cavalcade of lies that Gingrich and Santorum spew about Romney.

Ron Paul will come in 3rd or 4th place in all of those states, and then he will announce that he is not dropping out.

That's what my crystal ball tells me.