High Point poll: Obama +4 in NORTH CAROLINA

[TroyD]

NORTH CAROLINA - Obama +4

High Point

Obama - 48

Romney - 44


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515 adults (448 registered voters)

Telephone (Random Digital Dial (RDD) landline and cellular telephones

Sept 8-Sept 13 & Sept 15-Sept 18

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http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/17memoa.pdf

[DCBob]

1. All the battlegrounds are now turning blue.

This is starting to look like 2008.

[TroyD]

2. We have to be cautious about NC since polls have been all over the place there, but . . .

The previous High Point poll in August showed Romney (+3), so this does appear to be an increase for Obama. High Point's last poll was done with Survey USA.

There are some old NC polls still in the RCP average which are keeping Romney up . Hopefully new polls will change the pro-Romney average:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html

[nc4bo]

3. NC also has to be careful about the GOP's effort to suppress the vote.

Maddow did a piece on this last night where some fly-by-night GOP (suspected) group from Texas tried to remove 30,000 voters from the rolls claiming they were dead. NC Board of Elections is on top of it.

POTUS won NC by less than 15,000 last election so GOTV and watchful eyes and ears are imperative.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26315908/

[Jennicut]

4. If Obama takes a real genuine lead in NC backed by other polling,

then Romney is in deep trouble. What swing state would be left for him to pick off? Indiana is not going to get him far. OH, VA, FL are going Obama's way right now.

[TroyD]

5. Obama taking the lead wouldn't guaranteed he'd win NC . . .

But you're right that at the very least it would force Romney to spend more time in a state when he needs to be in other states like Ohio, Florida etc.

[Robbins]

6. NC

If Obama has 3 or 4 point lead Romney Is In trouble.Correct me If I am wrong but didn't polls In 2008 showing Obama ahead In NC only have him up by 1

[Thrill]

7. I've been saying. Here in NC. Mittens is spending a ton

He is all over TV and radio. But when it comes down to it. They aren't going to vote for the Mormon

[TroyD]

8. Effect of electoral theft?

I haven't watched the whole thing yet, but I think Rachel Maddow interviewed someone last night from NC who talked about Republican attempts to remove thousands of people from the voter rolls without justification and that they were recently caught doing it in TEXAS and may try it in NC.

What do you hear on the ground there about that?

[Thrill]

9. We have a great Democratic sec of state

No funny business is going to go on. Our early voting starts Oct 12th. And you can register and vote the same day

[TroyD]

11. ‘Voter Integrity Project’ Claims 30,000 Dead Voters Registered In North Carolina

This is the type of thing I mean:

‘Voter Integrity Project’ Claims 30,000 Dead Voters Registered In North Carolina

http://www.addictinginfo.org/2012/09/21/voter-integrity-project-claims-30000-dead-voters-registered-in-north-carolina/

[Zambero]

12. Teabagger "True the Vote"

Their tactic is to make certain that still-breathing likely Democratic voters have to jump through plenty of hoops before being "reinstated". If most of them are denied the vote, it could very well swing the state (and possibly the election?) red. Yet another "Mission Accomplished".

[TroyD]

15. That's why I wanted to post this

I hope folks like 'Thrill' and other Democrats in NC keep an eye on stuff like this going on.

[TexasCPA]

10. Great. Force Romney to spend money in NC

I would say money and time, but I don't think the Romney campaign does real political stops. They only do fundraising stops.

[smorkingapple]

13. NC is our Pennsylvania

We're not gonna take that state this time. It's still closer to South Carolina than Virginia.

Don't get your hopes up and since we don't need it, it's a waste to even spend any energy hoping it turns blue. If it does, awesome.

[Jennicut]

14. Obama doesn't need it but Romney does.

So he has to spend money there. If it is close without us spending much money on it then that is great.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

16. Even if we lose NC, the goal is to increase the vote count. If we can do that, it helps provide

a cushion due to voter suppression. We have to work to increase the raw number of votes, even in RED states where we have little to no chance of winning.