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modrepub

(3,502 posts)
Thu Aug 24, 2017, 12:39 PM Aug 2017

Harvey to Mess with Texas

The 11 AM update from the National Hurricane Center looks really bad for Texas. Storm strength has been upgraded while track appears to be consistent; onshore then stall. If this pans out its going to be a real mess.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?cone#contents

From the NHC 11 AM Update:

With Harvey now strengthening at a faster rate than indicated in
previous advisories, the intensity forecast has become quite
concerning. Water vapor images indicate that the cyclone's outflow
is expanding--indicative of low shear--and Harvey will be moving
over a warm eddy of high oceanic heat content in the western Gulf of
Mexico in about 24 hours. As a result of these conditions, several
intensity models, including the ICON intensity consensus, are now
explicit showing Harvey reaching major hurricane intensity. What's
more astounding is that some of the SHIPS Rapid Intensification
indices are incredibly high. As an example, the guidance is
indicating a 70 percent chance of Harvey's winds increasing by 45 kt
over the next 36 hours. Based on this guidance, the NHC official
intensity forecast now calls for Harvey to reach major hurricane
strength by 36 hours, before it reaches the middle Texas coast.


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Harvey to Mess with Texas (Original Post) modrepub Aug 2017 OP
Very important post - thank you - From Wunderground too - 8/24 asiliveandbreathe Aug 2017 #1
im glued to the weather channel....praying for no deaths and that people will be.... samnsara Aug 2017 #2

asiliveandbreathe

(8,203 posts)
1. Very important post - thank you - From Wunderground too - 8/24
Thu Aug 24, 2017, 12:53 PM
Aug 2017
If you live on the coast of Texas, please heed the advice of local emergency management officials, and get out today if you live in an evacuation zone. Tropical storm-force winds may arrive along the coast of Texas as early as 8 am CDT Friday, making evacuation difficult thereafter, according to the latest National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/dangerous-rapidly-intensifying-harvey-expected-be-cat-3-landfall

samnsara

(17,634 posts)
2. im glued to the weather channel....praying for no deaths and that people will be....
Fri Aug 25, 2017, 07:42 AM
Aug 2017

..smart about their animals. The thing with shelters not taking pets is that many folks wont leave...as in Katrina. I think most states have mandatory emergency animal sheltering in place. Not sure about texas tho..

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