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randys1

(16,286 posts)
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 12:48 PM Feb 2016

I dont understand these threads here about polls showing Dems in natl virtual tie.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html

According to this Hillary still has a large lead, not something that I am necessarily thrilled about, but what is going on here?

I guess polls are changing so rapidly that anything is possible.

The latest poll on link is 2-4, so there is something newer?
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PoliticAverse

(26,366 posts)
1. Looking at the polls I'd say she still has a significant national lead.
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 12:51 PM
Feb 2016

But also note delegates are chosen on a state by state basis.

Response to randys1 (Original post)

randys1

(16,286 posts)
4. Maybe RC has not caught up yet. I always said the more people see of Bernie the better his
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 01:04 PM
Feb 2016

numbers wll be, but that isnt playing out with minorities, it seems.

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
3. I heard about one yesterday (don't remember from who)
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 01:04 PM
Feb 2016

That was Hillary 44, Bernie 42. The only major significance I attributed to it was that it elicited a reflexive "Wahoo!" from me.... ;->

Gman

(24,780 posts)
5. Rasmussen over the same period has HRC +18
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 02:18 PM
Feb 2016

Which together with the others makes Quinnipiac an outlier.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
6. I really don't understand them either. This whole primary has been all over the place
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 06:22 PM
Feb 2016

It's beenboring as hell and spell binding at the same time.

wildeyed

(11,243 posts)
8. Iowa was the worst this year.
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 07:45 PM
Feb 2016

It settled nothing decisively. It has weird, non-representative demographics, they always pick freaks on the GOP side, but still get to go first. Also, caucuses are dumb. Why does that state even exist again?

I thought that one way or another, there would be some relief after that was over. I would feel bad if Team H took the hit, triumphant if Team B went down. But at least it would settle some questions. But no. The death match continues.... Now we have to wait for SC.



wildeyed

(11,243 posts)
7. I heard about that too,
Sat Feb 6, 2016, 07:31 PM
Feb 2016

but didn't read it. National polls are not thought to be predictive this early anyway. Seems like it would be termed an outlier at this point, since there is nothing else similar. I see a Quinnipiac that is C+2, but nothing else remotely similar.

I dunno. Gotta see NH and SC vote before any true judgements can be made.

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
9. The national polls don't matter. This thing is won on a state by state basis. I also think those
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 09:39 PM
Feb 2016

polls are outliers. The MSM wants to make this thing a real race; that's why Sanders has not been given very hard questions.

Still waiting on the question of the century:

HOW DOES SANDERS PLAN TO WORK WITH MODERATE/CONSERVATIVE DEMOCRATS, AS WELL AS REPUBLICANS, TO GET EVERYTHING HE AND HIS FANATICS WANT?

Until someone asks him this ^^^^ question or any variation thereof, I will continue to argue that the so-called Media Establishment is blatantly given him a pass.

pnwmom

(108,980 posts)
10. There was the Quinnipiac, but that appears to be an outlier.
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 08:41 PM
Feb 2016

And there was an web-based Reuters poll -- but online polls have yet to be proven scientifically valid. That's probably why RCP doesn't include it in its listings.

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