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usonian

(9,849 posts)
Thu Sep 28, 2023, 05:56 PM Sep 2023

COVID levels are so high, they're hovering near 2020's initial peak

https://fortune.com/well/2023/09/16/united-states-covid-levels-approach-first-pandemic-peak-2020-who-urges-vaccination-boosters-high-risk/

U.S. COVID infections are hovering near levels of the pandemic’s first peak in 2020, and approaching the Delta peak of late 2021, according to wastewater surveillance and modeling by forecasters.

It’s yet another sign that while the official pandemic state may be over, the days of COVID are far from it.

Viral wastewater levels are not far behind all of the pandemic’s 2020 peaks except for one—the initial peak of March 2020, which they’ve already surpassed. And they lag just slightly levels seen during the deadly Delta peak of late 2021, according to Biobot Analytics, which monitors such data for the federal government.

A forecast issued this week by Jay Weiland, a leading COVID modeler, came to the same conclusions. On Thursday, Weiland estimated that 650,000 Americans are becoming infected daily, with 1 in 51 Americans currently infected with COVID.


I was the only one at the grocery store today wearing a mask.

Didn't check the pharmacy.
On edit: apologies for the accidental double post.
9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
COVID levels are so high, they're hovering near 2020's initial peak (Original Post) usonian Sep 2023 OP
Husband and I were only ones masked in the small, but busy waiting room for his eye appointment. MLAA Sep 2023 #1
i never quit wearing mine . AllaN01Bear Sep 2023 #2
But hospitalizations and deaths are not. MyNameIsJonas Sep 2023 #3
My non-medical opinion: milder variants, more vaccinations, usonian Sep 2023 #4
A bit misleading but still worth noting Fiendish Thingy Sep 2023 #5
I thnk that reporting has slacked off, and that there are milder variants these days, usonian Sep 2023 #6
I had to tell a dental assistant XanaDUer2 Nov 2023 #7
When I was a kid, the barber had a fondness for garlic. usonian Nov 2023 #8
I'm having expensive tmj tx XanaDUer2 Nov 2023 #9
 

MyNameIsJonas

(744 posts)
3. But hospitalizations and deaths are not.
Thu Sep 28, 2023, 06:40 PM
Sep 2023

This is what we kind of expected and hoped for, no? That we would reach a point where COVID was manageable because we pretty much knew it wouldn't go away.

usonian

(9,849 posts)
4. My non-medical opinion: milder variants, more vaccinations,
Thu Sep 28, 2023, 07:26 PM
Sep 2023

more and quicker home recoveries with Paxlovid.

I have read that variants are similar to a bad cold but still more serious.

https://www.verywellhealth.com/do-i-have-a-cold-or-covid-5214418

Fiendish Thingy

(15,650 posts)
5. A bit misleading but still worth noting
Thu Sep 28, 2023, 07:44 PM
Sep 2023

Increased Waste water level’s definitely means cases are up, but can’t be precisely compared to 2020 case number obtained via PCR testing.

The other important numbers are: although waste water levels are significantly higher, hospitalizations and deaths have not increased at the same rate.

usonian

(9,849 posts)
6. I thnk that reporting has slacked off, and that there are milder variants these days,
Thu Sep 28, 2023, 08:18 PM
Sep 2023

more home testing, more vaccinated people, and more home treatments, i.e. with Paxlovid etc.

So, it's an unbalanced comparison, but useful nonetheless.

Statistics is/are a tricky game.

I recently found out that the "How to Lie with Statistics" book that we admired was authored or promoted by the tobacco industry, in order to lessen credibility in the real life statistics that smoking was deadly.

Correct me if I got this wrong.

usonian

(9,849 posts)
8. When I was a kid, the barber had a fondness for garlic.
Sat Nov 11, 2023, 01:55 PM
Nov 2023

No mask could cover that up. I bring a little box of Altoids with me everywhere to this day. 😷

And I do my own haircuts. Those graduated combs keep it even!

Not doing my own dental work, other than the daily maintenance.

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