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Cattledog

(5,916 posts)
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 03:28 PM Jan 2018

Black Death 'spread by humans not rats.

Rats were not to blame for the spread of plague during the Black Death, according to a study.

The rodents and their fleas were thought to have spread a series of outbreaks in 14th-19th Century Europe.
But a team from the universities of Oslo and Ferrara now says the first, the Black Death, can be "largely ascribed to human fleas and body lice".

The study, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, uses records of its pattern and scale.
The Black Death claimed an estimated 25 million lives, more than a third of Europe's population, between 1347 and 1351.

"We have good mortality data from outbreaks in nine cities in Europe," Prof Nils Stenseth, from the University of Oslo, told BBC News.
"So we could construct models of the disease dynamics [there]."

He and his colleagues then simulated disease outbreaks in each of these cities, creating three models where the disease was spread by:

rats
airborne transmission
fleas and lice that live on humans and their clothes

In seven out of the nine cities studied, the "human parasite model" was a much better match for the pattern of the outbreak.
It mirrored how quickly it spread and how many people it affected.

"The conclusion was very clear," said Prof Stenseth. "The lice model fits best."

"It would be unlikely to spread as fast as it did if it was transmitted by rats.

"It would have to go through this extra loop of the rats, rather than being spread from person to person."

Full article at:

http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-42690577#
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Black Death 'spread by humans not rats. (Original Post) Cattledog Jan 2018 OP
Why scum up perfectly MFM008 Jan 2018 #1
So true. democratisphere Jan 2018 #2
The cities in the 14th century were filled with free flowing feces and garbage Farmer-Rick Jan 2018 #3

MFM008

(19,818 posts)
1. Why scum up perfectly
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 03:37 PM
Jan 2018

Good rats reputation?
Everyone knows people are indeed
filthier and probably infected the rats.

Farmer-Rick

(10,185 posts)
3. The cities in the 14th century were filled with free flowing feces and garbage
Thu Jan 18, 2018, 04:51 PM
Jan 2018

Including horse manure, animal parts, mud and poisons. They were a hotbed of filth waiting for disease to come through. The poor, and what little middle class was allowed to develop, were packed in like sardines, provided no medical care and fed the cheapest and most adulterated food available. A horrid outbreak was bound to happen.

Of course humans caused their own problems but it was easier to blame the rats.

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