Lithium-Ion Market on Verge of Dramatic Growth
"With all the doom and gloom pervading the advanced battery industry over the past several monthsfrom the bankruptcy of A123 to the fire on board Boeings 787 Dreamlinerthe Frost & Sullivan report this week on the future of the lithium-ion market must seem a bit of a surprise to some. According to Frost & Sullivan, the global lithium-ion battery market in 2012 was $11.7 billion. That market is expected to doublethats right, doubleby 2016.
Where this growth is projected to occur is particularly interesting. Today, 64% of the lithium-ion battery market is in consumer batteries (i.e., laptops, cell phones, cameras, etc.). While further growth in the consumer battery market is expected through 2016, particularly in the developing world, consumer batteries are expected to constitute only 52% of the lithium-ion battery market by 2016.
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The real growth driver for the lithium-ion battery market, however, is something I have written about before: Economic growth in advanced economies depends upon making all aspects of modern technology more and more efficient. Greater efficiency will generally require the use of more electric current and its storage for that use in ever smaller mass. This fundamental fact of technology development is what ultimately drives Chinese and Western European government investment in lithium-ion battery technology and its applications. The U.S. government and U.S. economy ignore this fundamental fact at their great peril."
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