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Eugene

(61,949 posts)
Thu Jul 5, 2012, 08:38 PM Jul 2012

Nuclear power at record levels, despite Fukushima disaster

Source: CBC News

Nuclear power at record levels, despite Fukushima disaster

By Evan Mitsui, CBC News Posted: Jul 5, 2012 6:42 PM ET Last Updated: Jul 5, 2012 8:22 PM ET

Sixteen months after the nuclear disaster in Japan, electricity generation from nuclear power worldwide has reached record levels, with a reactor construction boom likely to push those levels steadily higher.

“Fukushima has delayed nuclear development by three or four years,” as countries re-evaluate safety around nuclear power, says Luis Echávarri, the director general of the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA). “But construction continues.”

In the immediate aftermath of the March 11, 2011 earthquake and tsunami that led to meltdowns at the Fukushima Dai-ichi plant, the total global operating capacity for nuclear-generated power dipped from about 372 gigawatts of electricity (GWe) — equivalent to about 14 per cent of the world’s electricity — to roughly 304 GWe, largely due to Japan and Germany switching off their nuclear plants.

However, a year after the disaster, the amount of electricity generated from nuclear plants worldwide had risen again and is at an all time high, according to Echávarri.

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Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/story/2012/07/05/f-nuclear-power-post-fukushima.html

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kristopher

(29,798 posts)
1. Compare to... "Global Nuclear Power Generation Capacity Decreases"
Thu Jul 5, 2012, 09:04 PM
Jul 2012
Global Nuclear Power Generation Capacity Decreases
DECEMBER 8, 2011 BY NICHOLAS BROWN

A new analysis from the World Watch Institute indicated that there is a global nuclear remission (opposite of resurgence) caused by the rising cost of nuclear power plants as well as the safety issues associated with them.

The Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster is part of the reason. Last year, nuclear power generation capacity attained a record high of 375.5 GW (375,500 MW), and this year, in March, the Fukushima Daiichi disaster in Japan (which was out of control for months) convinced many people that they are not prepared to effectively contain a nuclear disaster due to the failure of Japan to do so long.
This may be one of the main reasons why nuclear power generation capacity decreased to 366.5 GW (a 2.4% decrease) this year. The World Watch Institute attributed this decrease to a significant decline in the demand for nuclear power.

Most of the decline in installed nuclear power capacity is due to the halt of reactor construction.

There is the possibility ...

http://cleantechnica.com/2011/12/08/global-nuclear-power-generation-capacity-decreases/

And here is what the industry was forecasting 5 years ago before the false promises on construction costs began to catch up to them.

IAEA: Nuclear capacity could double by 2030
2 September 2008

Nuclear power capacity could double by 2030, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The latest figures predict net growth of at least 100 GWe.

Announcing the publication of the 2008 edition of Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2030, the IAEA said, "Nuclear power, in step with growing global demand for energy, will continue expanding into the next two decades."

The annually-produced publication provides high and low projections on the prospects for nuclear energy worldwide. The low projection assumes that "all nuclear capacity currently under construction or in the development pipeline gets constructed and current policies, such as phase-outs, remain unchanged." The high scenario is based on "government and corporate announcements about longer term plans for nuclear investments, as well as potential new national policies, such as responses to new international environmental agreements to combat climate change."

Under the low scenario, the IAEA said that nuclear generating capacity would increase from the current 372 GWe at an annual average growth rate of 1.3% to 473 GWe in 2030. However, under the high scenario, capacity would double, growing by an average annual rate of 3.3% to 748 GWe in 2030. The projections are higher than those given in the 2007 edition of the publication, which under the low scenario projected capacity of 447 GWe by 2030, and under the high scenario, 691 GWe by 2030.

Hans-Holger Rogner, head of the IAEA's Nuclear Energy Planning and Economics Studies Section, said that rising costs of natural gas and coal, together with energy supply security and environmental constraints, are among the factors contributing to nuclear's growth.

Rogner...


http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NP-IAEA-Nuclear_capacity_could_double_by_2030-1209084.html

The OP looks to be a hype piece for uranium stocks.

hunter

(38,328 posts)
3. More than 150 new reactors are scheduled for completion by the end of 2016.
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 10:56 AM
Jul 2012

China alone expects to complete 27 new reactors by the end of 2015.

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN_Latest_Chinese_nuclear_milestone_1306121.html

The figures above may be optimistic, but construction of new nuclear power plants is ongoing throughout the world.

Japan and Germany are not the world, and this is not a pro- or antinuclear post.

FBaggins

(26,760 posts)
4. I doubt it's anything close to that high.
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 11:24 AM
Jul 2012

There are 60-70 reactors under construction (depending on how you define the term) currently, and you certainly aren't going to complete one by 2016 if it hasn't been started yet.

I think the IAEA expects 70-75 GWs of net new capacity by 2020 (mostly in china/india)... which seems more reasonable.

hunter

(38,328 posts)
5. That's why I said optimistic, because I couldn't immediately find a solid source.
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 01:01 PM
Jul 2012

I suspect the number includes things like refitting of older reactors currently offline, smaller prototype and research power reactors, maybe even ships and submarines.

As a publication written for people who work in the nuclear industry that kind of accounting makes sense.

Nevertheless, nuclear power output is increasing and the nuclear industry is expanding.

Rightly or wrongly, the loss of Fukushima is being attributed to some variety of corporate and regulatory mismanagement peculiar to Japan, much as the Chernobyl accident has been attributed to a peculiar form of Soviet mismanagement.

The position that humans are fallible and therefore shouldn't be messing with nuclear power is not unreasonable. In that case we shouldn't be messing with fossil fuels either, as it's almost certain to be fossil fuels that bring down this civilization.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
6. Are you in the habit of making things up when you "can't find a solid source"?
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 01:22 PM
Jul 2012

I forgot, you are a nuclear proponent.

Of course you are..

hunter

(38,328 posts)
8. Link, biased source, but what the hell...
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 03:01 PM
Jul 2012
The World Nuclear Association, an industry group representing companies involved in nuclear power, says there are some 435 active nuclear power reactors operating in 30 countries.

That number is expected to grow steadily. More than 81 reactors are currently under construction or being upgraded around the world.

China, Russia and South Korea lead the pack with 26, 10 and 5 reactors under construction, respectively, all slated for completion this year.

In all, more than 150 new reactors will be completed by the end of 2016, with another 330 proposals awaiting approval, mostly in China and India. Twenty of those proposals are for reactors in the U.S., another four in the U.K.


http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/story/2012/07/05/f-nuclear-power-post-fukushima.html

madokie

(51,076 posts)
7. BS comes in all flavors
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 02:18 PM
Jul 2012

I doubt seriously if anything coming from that link is factual concerning the subject at hand.

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