At Current Rates Of Warming, By 2100 Southern Britain Likely Too Dry For Farming w/o Irrigation
If emissions continue at current rates, Britain will be 5C warmer by the end of the century, and would experience up to 140mm less rainfall during the growing season between April and September, according to the paper published in the journal Environmental Research Letters.
Lead researcher Professor Tim Lenton, from the University of Exeter, said this level of climate change would result in a transformation of the countrys landscape.
He told The Independent: Were moving towards a more French or Spanish summer climate. The east and southeast will be a parched grassland in the summer and, if there is livestock on it, it will be low stocking level. The lowland grassland plains will be much drier than were used to and probably wont sustain wheat production because they will just be too dry.
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Dr Paul Ritchie, from the University of Exeter, said: Britain is relatively cool and damp, so a warmer and drier growing season is generally expected to increase arable production. Crops could still be grown with the aid of irrigation, but this would involve either storing large quantities of winter rainfall or transporting water from wetter parts of the country. The amount of water required would be vast, representing a major challenge for UK agriculture.
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https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/farming-climate-change-crisis-latest-uk-crops-a9175961.html