Cheap Solar Power Could Gut the Global Coal Industry by 2040
Cheap Solar Power Could Gut the Global Coal Industry by 2040
David Z. Morris
A new report concludes that solar energy will be a cheaper way to generate electricity than coal in most parts of the world by 2021. That crossover point, predicted to arrive much sooner than previously estimated, could trigger a massive market shift that may drastically hamstring the coal industry over subsequent decades.
According to the study, which was conducted by
Bloomberg New Energy Finance, total coal generation in the U.S. is estimated to be cut in half by 2040. In Europe, the predicted drop is 87%. Researchers project that coal generation projects equal to the entire electricity output of Germany and Brazil stand to be cancelled.
Those drops are driven by more than the average price of solar energy, which is expected to decline 66% between today and 2020. The cost of wind generation is also expected to drop 47% during that time, with offshore wind farms dropping 71%.
If the reports projections pan out, global greenhouse gas emissions could begin declining after 2026.