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OKIsItJustMe

(19,938 posts)
Mon Mar 13, 2017, 09:41 PM Mar 2017

Democrats and Republicans draw different conclusions when seasons are too hot or too cold

(But, then, you knew that, right?)

https://www.springer.com/gp/about-springer/media/research-news/democrats-and-republicans-draw-different-conclusions-when-seasons-are-too-hot-or-too-cold/12136970

[font face=Serif]3/13/17
[font size=5]Democrats and Republicans draw different conclusions when seasons are too hot or too cold[/font]

[font size=4]Attitudes about global warming are more pronounced when people reside in states experiencing unseasonably warm (or cold) temperatures[/font]

Heidelberg | New York, 13 March 2017

[font size=3]When the weather is unseasonably hot or cold, Americans across the political spectrum have even stronger views about whether climate change caused by human activity is a reality or not. Republicans are then less likely to conform to the scientific consensus on global warming, while Democrats are much more likely to do so. This is according to the findings of Jeremiah Bohr of the University of Wisconsin Oshkosh in the US, published in Springer’s journal Climatic Change.



Bohr used data from two sources in his study. Data concerning people’s beliefs about global warming and the social setting they find themselves in came from four nationally representative CBS/New York Times surveys of American adults, collected in February 2013, March 2013, February 2014 and May 2014. These months represent moments when different regions in the US experienced temperatures both five degrees Fahrenheit above or below the average temperature for the previous three decades. Bohr then merged the survey data with state-specific monthly temperature averages collected by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Center for Environmental Information.

His models indicate that temperature anomalies exacerbate existing political polarization and thoughts over what causes global warming. This is especially so when unseasonal temperatures at least five degrees Fahrenheit above or below the established five-year baseline are experienced.

Democrats are more likely in such cases to attribute global warming to human activity. Republicans, on the other hand, are less likely to conform to the scientific consensus on global warming during very cold or very warm periods. When breaking down Republican identity between those who do and do not support the Tea Party movement, Bohr further found that both kinds of Republicans converge in their global warming beliefs during extreme temperature anomalies, but diverge during more seasonable temperature conditions.

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