Climate change to shift global pattern of mild weather

[OKIsItJustMe]

(Please note, NOAA media release. Copyright concerns are nil.)

http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/climate-change-to-shift-global-pattern-of-mild-weather

[font face=Serif][font size=5]Climate change to shift global pattern of mild weather[/font]
[font size=4]New research shows the global average of mild weather days will drop, with dramatic declines for some, increases for others[/font]

January 18, 2017

[font size=3]As scientists work to predict how climate change may affect hurricanes, droughts, floods, blizzards and other severe weather, there’s one area that’s been overlooked: mild weather. But no more.

NOAA and Princeton University scientists have produced the first global analysis of how climate change may affect the frequency and location of mild weather – days that are perfect for an outdoor wedding, baseball, fishing, boating, hiking or a picnic. Scientists defined “mild” weather as temperatures between 64 and 86 degrees F, with less than a half inch of rain and dew points below 68 degrees F, indicative of low humidity.

Knowing the general pattern for mild weather over the next decades is also economically valuable to a wide range of businesses and industries. Travel, tourism, construction, transportation, agriculture, and outdoor recreation all benefit from factoring weather patterns into their plans.

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[font size=4]Parts of U.S., Canada, northern Europe to gain milder days[/font]

People living in the mid-latitudes, which include much of the United States, as well as many mountainous areas around the world, will gain mild weather days on average, the new study found. The biggest winners will include communities along the border with Canada in the Northeast, Midwest and Northwest, as well as many parts of Canada.

Other areas projected to gain as much as 10 to 15 days more annually of mild weather by the end of the 21st century include parts of England and northern Europe, and Patagonia in extreme southern South America. In some of these areas, mild weather will drop during increasingly hot and humid summers but become more plentiful in fall, winter and spring as winters warm and the shoulder seasons last longer.


[font size=1]This map shows the change in the annual number of mild days across the globe from the period of 1986-2005 to the period from 2081-2100. Areas of blue are expected to experience an increase in mild days while areas of brown are expected to see a decline in those days. (Van der Wiel/ NOAA/ Princeton)[/font]

“We believe improving the public understanding of how climate change will affect something as important as mild weather is an area ripe for more research and more focused studies,” said Sarah Kapnick, a physical scientist at NOAA’s GFDL and co-author. “Predicting changes in mild weather is not only important to business and industry, but can also contribute to research on the future of physical and mental health, leisure and urban planning.”

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[In_The_Wind]

1. Thus far, this winter has been milder than recent years.

[mackdaddy]

2. Loss of Milder "median" weather and more extreme events.

Ohio has has a mostly extremely mild winter so far, except for a couple of below zero polar vortex blasts for a few days, then we go back up for 50 degree days, and very little snow. Much warmer than average.

The problem is we seem to be also getting more extreme events across the nation and world. Extreme droughts for many months or years alternating with flooding rain events.

The Pigeon Ford fires would be a good example as well as fires in the "rain-forest" areas last year in the Pacific NW last year, and parts of the Amazon this year. Now most of these area are getting the flooding rains.

Too much rain of too little rain could really start affecting grain production in many of the "breadbasket" areas. Civilizations get a bit shaky when the food gets short.