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FBaggins

(26,743 posts)
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 05:55 PM Mar 2012

Americans Still Favor Nuclear Power a Year After Fukushima (Gallup)

One year after the tsunami and resulting failure of the Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan, a majority of Americans continue to favor the use of nuclear energy as one of the ways to provide electricity for the U.S. The 57% who favor nuclear power this year is identical to the percentage measured in early March 2011, just before the Fukushima incident.



...snip...

The majority of Americans also continue to think nuclear power plants are safe. Gallup has asked Americans this question three times over the past four years, and the positive responses each time have been within a narrow 56% to 58% range.

The extensive news coverage of the major problems the Fukushima reactors experienced after power was disrupted as a result of the massive tsunami that hit the Japanese coast on March 11, 2011, does not appear to have had a long-term effect on Americans' attitudes about nuclear power. Although attitudes may have shifted in the immediate aftermath of last year's incident, attitudes now are almost identical to those measured in last year's pre-disaster survey.

Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are more likely to favor the use of nuclear power than are Democrats and Democratic leaners, as they have consistently over the years, but at least half of each partisan group currently favors its use. Americans aged 50 and older are slightly more likely to be in favor of nuclear power than are those under 50, although age makes no difference in views on the safety of nuclear power plants.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/153452/Americans-Favor-Nuclear-Power-Year-Fukushima.aspx

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Americans Still Favor Nuclear Power a Year After Fukushima (Gallup) (Original Post) FBaggins Mar 2012 OP
Good to see Americans aren't getting gulled by this. TheWraith Mar 2012 #1
Not really: New nationwide poll shows wariness about nuclear power kristopher Mar 2012 #2
"What's it like to live in a world dominated by sour grapes?" FBaggins Mar 2012 #4
Who commissions that Gallup poll every year? kristopher Mar 2012 #5
Nobody commissions it FBaggins Mar 2012 #6
Well, let's look more closely. kristopher Mar 2012 #9
By all means, let's. FBaggins Mar 2012 #10
Another successful PR campaign bananas Mar 2012 #3
Americans also once supported the Iraq War Downtown Hound Mar 2012 #7
Over time they came to oppose the war FBaggins Mar 2012 #8

TheWraith

(24,331 posts)
1. Good to see Americans aren't getting gulled by this.
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 05:58 PM
Mar 2012

It's been a lovely lynchpin to the new coal and natural gas propaganda onslaught we've seen lately, but seeing that they got it under control seems to have undermined the attempt at a new round of fearmongering.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
2. Not really: New nationwide poll shows wariness about nuclear power
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 06:02 PM
Mar 2012

The devil is in the details that the nuclear industry presentation of that Gallup poll always omits.

New nationwide poll shows wariness about nuclear power
By JUDY FAHYS

Americans haven’t warmed to nuclear energy in the year since the Fukushima meltdowns, according to a new survey.

The poll, done by ORC International for the nonprofit, nonpartisan Civil Society Institute (CSI), found that 57 percent support nuclear power less than they did before the March 11 earthquake and tsunami that resulted in the crisis at the Japanese nuclear complex.

In addition, 77 percent said they back “using clean renewable energy resources — such as wind and solar — and increased energy efficiency as an alternative to more nuclear power in the United States.” And an equal percentage said they wanted to see federal loan guarantees shifted from nuclear to wind and solar power.

ORC surveyed 1,032 Americans February 23-26. It compared the results with similar polls a year ago and added a question about public reactions to nuclear incidents in the United States over the past year. Its findings run counter to similar polls that have been published by the nuclear industry.

...

“Nuclear power remains expensive, dangerous and too radioactive for Wall Street,” he said. “This survey shows why the industry has no future unless the U.S. government props it up and forces the public to bear the risks.”

...


http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/politics/53667311-90/americans-energy-industry-nuclear.html.csp


From the Civil Society Institute Press release:
• Nearly six in 10 Americans (57 percent) are less supportive of expanding nuclear power in the United States than they were before the Japanese reactor crisis, a nearly identical finding to the 58 percent who responded the same way when asked the same question one year ago. This contrasts sharply with pre-Fukushima surveys by Gallup and other organizations showing a 60 percent support level for nuclear power.
• More than three out of four Americans (77 percent) say they are now more supportive than they were a year ago "to using clean renewable energy resources - such as wind and solar - and increased energy efficiency as an alternative to more nuclear power in the United States." This finding edged up from the 2011 survey level of 76 percent.
• More than three out of four Americans (77 percent) would support "a shift of federal loan-guarantee support for energy away from nuclear reactors" in favor of wind and solar power. This level of support was up from the 74 percent finding in the 2011 survey.
• In response to a new question in the 2012 survey, more than six in 10 Americans (61 percent) said they were less supportive of nuclear power as a result of reports in the U.S. during 2011 and so far in 2012 of nuclear reactors that had to be shut down due such factors as natural disasters, equipment failure and radioactive leaks.
....


http://www.civilsocietyinstitute.org/media/030712release.cfm



Survey can be downloaded with this link:
http://www.civilsocietyinstitute.org/media/pdfs/030712%20CSI%20Fukushima%20Anniversary%20Survey%20Rpt%20FINAL2.pdf



Originally posted here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/11278804

FBaggins

(26,743 posts)
4. "What's it like to live in a world dominated by sour grapes?"
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 06:24 PM
Mar 2012

You're comparing a push poll crafted by an anti-nuclear group to a legitimate survey.

Its findings run counter to similar polls that have been published by the nuclear industry.

Yep... and now we know it runs counter to unbiased surveys as well. Guess which results lack credibility?

As if there was ever any doubt? A polling firm doesn't ask the question "are you more/less supportive than before this scary event?" instead of "do you support the use of nuclear power" unless they know the answer to the straightforward question and don't want it answered.

Speaking of your sour grapes... don't forget that breakdown by party. More Democrats support the use of nuclear power than oppose it. It's gotta rock the fabric of your reality.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
5. Who commissions that Gallup poll every year?
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 06:37 PM
Mar 2012

The CSI poll is very well done and its results are far more detailed and informative than the Gallup poll. There are two steps to a well designed poll, and the first is where the various issues that are in the public consciousness are clearly identified in order to form the quantitative questions that accurately uncover the attitudes and beliefs of the public.


In fact, the Gallup poll results *as presented by nuclear industry supporters* always paint a different picture than other polling and is as clear an example of misuse of public policy polling as any I've ever seen.


One Year Post Fukushima, Americans Are Divided About the Risks of Nuclear Power
Region and age show divides over attitudes on nuclear power

NEW YORK, March 14, 2012 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- One year post-Fukushima and the nuclear disaster in Japan, American attitudes about nuclear energy have become polarized. The most recent results show a shift towards believing the risks outweigh the benefits, and now slightly more Americans believe the risks of nuclear energy outweigh the benefits (41% to 40%). In 2009 and 2011, the benefits of nuclear power outweighed the risks (44% to 34% in 2009 and 42% to 37% in 2011). Harris Poll research in 2011 was conducted before the disaster.

These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,056 adults surveyed online between February 6 and 13, 2012 by Harris Interactive

This research points to some very distinct geographic differences among Americans. Regional differences may be a reflection of familiarity. The South has the greatest concentration of nuclear power plants (almost twice as many as the East) and the highest percentage of adults who believe the benefits outweigh the risks (43%, compared to 33% in the East and 41% in the Midwest and West).

There is also a clear age divide as Baby Boomers (ages 48-66) and Matures (67 and older) are more likely to say benefits of nuclear power outweigh the risks than both Echo Boomers (ages 18-35) and Gen Xers (ages 36-47) are. Party preference is indicative of attitudes about nuclear power as well. Republicans are the most likely to believe the benefits outweigh the risks (51%) and Independents are more likely than Democrats to say the benefits outweigh the risks (43% among Independents and only 32% among Democrats). Democrats seem to be a large driver of the sentiment that risks outweigh benefits for nuclear.

These polarized attitudes are likely to continue as the economic and environmental impact of the Fukushima disaster becomes clear...


http://www.marketwatch.com/story/one-year-post-fukushima-americans-are-divided-about-the-risks-of-nuclear-power-2012-03-14

FBaggins

(26,743 posts)
6. Nobody commissions it
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 06:58 PM
Mar 2012

That's one of the key differences.

It's part of a regular environment survey that they run. One that I point out also shows very favorable data for other green energy options.

The CSI poll is very well done

Oh bull... it's a transparent push poll as I already pointed out. The Gallup poll is actually quite consistent with much of the one you're posting... they just don't slant the results. Note the internals. "Support" and "oppose" are broken down into "somewhat" and "strongly" (as Gallup does with many polls). You can see that a few percent have moved from "strongly support" to "somewhat support" and similar moves down the scale. If you understand the simple fact that it's possible to oppose nuclear power in March 2011 and oppose it more today (or support it in 2011 and support today... but a little less), then you can see how they drove their results.

Note also that one is a traditional poll and the other is the questionable online interactive sort?

its results are far more detailed and informative than the Gallup poll

Then you haven't read them. Nobody who had would say that.

More signs of a clear push poll. Preface you question with loaded wording (like telling them about reports of reactors in the US that "had to shut down" and "leaks of radioactive material" and "equipment failure" then asking them if those reports make them more likely to think that nuclear power is safe. Why not just ask from the start whether you think it's safe or not? Easy... because you know the answer and don't like it.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
9. Well, let's look more closely.
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 09:07 PM
Mar 2012

The Gallup poll you are touting begins with this question.


Interesting answer, don't you think? Do you suppose it sets in any given set of attitudes for the questions that follow?

I'm taking it from your comments so far that you think associating the nuclear approval question with the poorly understood "economy vs environment" paradigm is OK.

The CSI poll starts with a question similar to the Gallup approval question. But then it goes into more detail which relates nuclear to its actual risks in order to gain a picture of the benefit/cost perception related to safety. It also places nuclear in the context of viable alternatives. If you think that is push polling, then you really don't understand the concept. It is a well done poll designed to reflect the real choices that people are actually being confronted with. The only real criticism I have of this poll is that the wording in question A9 is a bit difficult to parse quickly. My recommendation for better wording would be: Would you support or oppose a halting extensions to the operating lifespan of the oldest nuclear reactors in the United States?

I think A5, A6 and A7 are particularly informative, don't you? Imagine if they actually understood just how bad the economics of nuclear actually are? Do you think they realize that should the policies in A5-A7 be enacted, that a defacto moratorium on new plants would be established?


A1 Would you say that you support or oppose more nuclear power reactors in the United States? Would you say you...
(READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER)
(Base = 1032)
01 Support strongly 18%
02 Support somewhat 28%
03 Oppose somewhat 25%
04 Oppose strongly 24%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 5%

Support (Net) = 46% Oppose (Net) = 49%

A2 Thinking about the nuclear reactor crisis a year ago in Japan ... are you now more or less supportive of expanding nuclear power in the United States than you were before that crisis? Would you say you are... (READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER)
(Base = 1032)
01 Much more supportive of more nuclear power 9%
02 Somewhat more supportive of more nuclear power 19%
03 Somewhat less supportive of more nuclear power 28%
04 Much less supportive of more nuclear power 30%
98 NO CHANGE 12%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 3%

More supportive (Net) = 28% Less supportive (Net) = 57%


A3 Again, thinking about the nuclear reactor crisis in Japan ... would you say that you are now more or less supportive than you were before the crisis to using clean renewable energy resources – such as wind and solar – and increased energy efficiency as an alternative to more nuclear power in the United States? Are you...
(READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER)
(Base = 1032)
01 Much more supportive of renewable energy 49%
02 Somewhat more supportive of renewable energy 28%
03 Somewhat less supportive of renewable energy 8%
04 Much less supportive of renewable energy 7%
98 NO CHANGE 6%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 1%

More supportive (Net) = 77% Less supportive (Net) = 16%


A4 Do the reports in the U.S. during 2011 and so far in 2012 of nuclear reactors that had to be shut down due to hurricanes, tornadoes, flooding, leaks or other emissions of radioactive materials, and/or equipment failure make you feel more or less supportive of nuclear power? Would you say you are...
(READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER)
(Base = 1032)
01 Much more supportive of nuclear power 10%
02 Somewhat more supportive of nuclear power 20%
03 Somewhat less supportive of nuclear power 34%
04 Much less supportive of nuclear power 27%
98 NO CHANGE 8%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 2%

More supportive (Net) = 29% Less supportive (Net) = 61%


A5 Do you think taxpayers should take on the risk for the construction of new nuclear power reactors in the United States through billions of dollars in new federal loan guarantees for new reactors?
(Base = 1032)
01 YES 24%
02 NO 72%

99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 3%


A6 Here is another question about federal support for energy development ... would you support or oppose a shift of federal loan-guarantee support for energy away from nuclear reactors and towards clean renewable energy such as wind and solar? Would you... (READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER)
(Base = 1032)
01 Support strongly 47%
02 Support somewhat 30%
03 Oppose somewhat 8%
04 Oppose strongly 13%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 2%

Support (Net) = 77% Oppose (Net) = 20%


A7 Currently nuclear reactor facilities in the U.S. are indemnified under the Price Anderson Act. In the event of an accident or a meltdown, the corporate owners and operators of a nuclear reactor would have limited liability for damages. The 1957 Act was seen as necessary for getting private industry to build nuclear reactors and it has been renewed for new reactors built before 2025.
Should Congress review the Act and hold these corporations liable for all damages resulting from a nuclear meltdown or other accident?
(Base = 1032)
01 YES 78%
02 NO 16%

99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 5%


A8 If increased energy efficiency and off the shelf renewable technologies such as wind and solar could meet our energy demands for the near term, would you support a moratorium on new nuclear reactor construction in the United States?
(Base = 1032)
01 YES 51%
02 NO 42%

99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 6%



A9 One of the concerns about the Japanese reactors was that they were of an old design and had been constructed in the 1970s. Here in the U.S., nearly one out of five nuclear reactors is of the same design and about the same age as those in Japan. Currently, the federal government is extending the permitted lifespan of these and other aging reactors.

Would you support or oppose a halt to the United States extending the operating lifespan of its oldest nuclear reactors? Would you...
(READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER) (Base = 1032)

01 Support strongly 21%
02 Support somewhat 26%
03 Oppose somewhat 19%
04 Oppose strongly 30%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 4%

Support (Net) = 47% Oppose (Net) = 49%


A10 Would you support or oppose the construction of a new nuclear reactor within 50 miles of your home? Would you...
(READ ENTIRE LIST BEFORE RECORDING ONE ANSWER)(Base = 1032)

01 Support strongly 14%
02 Support somewhat 20%
03 Oppose somewhat 10%
04 Oppose strongly 56%
99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 1%

Support (Net) = 34% Oppose (Net) = 65%


A11 Do you currently live within 50 miles of a nuclear reactor site?
(Base = 1032)
01 YES 18%
02 NO 71%

99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 11%


A12 [ASK IF A11 (01)]
How aware would you say you are of what to do in the event of a nuclear reactor emergency -- do you know the evacuation route and what other steps to take?
(Base = 227)
01 YES 46%
02 NO 52%

99 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE 2%

FBaggins

(26,743 posts)
10. By all means, let's.
Tue Mar 27, 2012, 11:02 AM
Mar 2012
The Gallup poll you are touting begins with this question.

No it doesn't. That's about a dozen questions in, with nuclear power coming around question #20 (and questions about wind/solar and conservation coming between the two).

Interesting answer, don't you think? Do you suppose it sets in any given set of attitudes for the questions that follow?

Are you serious? Using loaded words (risk billions of dollars/nuclear reactor crisis/clean renewable energy) doesn't get your attention, but this is what does?

The answer is no.

First of all both nuclear power and renewables are on the same side of that coin. Both of them require the society to sacrifice economic growth in order to provide for a cleaner environment.

Second of all - the answer goes against nuclear power. Over the last decade (particularly as the economy has weakened), people have shifted their priorities in this matter from the environment to the economy. If it "sets in a given set of attitudes", then it would be attitudes against spending tens of billions of dollars building plants that cost far more than natural gas generation.

I think A5, A6 and A7 are particularly informative, don't you?

I'm sure you do. You'll just gloss right over the fact that it's a poll crafted by a biased organization with results that don't match other polling... because it gives you the answer you want.

So yes, I find it particularly "informative"... but not in the way you intend it.

bananas

(27,509 posts)
3. Another successful PR campaign
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 06:14 PM
Mar 2012
http://www.gallup.com/poll/153365/Republicans-Democrats-Differ-Causes-Warmer-Weather.aspx

March 21, 2012

Republicans, Democrats Differ
on Causes of Warmer Weather

snip

Americans who say it has been warmer than
usual in their local area were asked whether
they think this is due to global warming or to
"normal year-to-year variation in
temperatures." Overall, Americans tilt toward
the latter explanation; 46% say the winter
was warmer than usual due to normal
temperature fluctuations, compared with
30% who attribute it to global warming.

However, these views are strongly related to
political orientation. Specifically, 51% of both
Republicans and independents say it has
been warmer than usual due to normal
temperature variations, while 19% and 28%
of the two groups, respectively, say it was
warmer due to global warming.

Democrats, on the other hand, are more
likely to say the warmer-than-usual
temperatures have been due to global
warming rather than to normal temperature
fluctuations, by 43% to 37%

Americans of all educational and age groups
are more likely to believe the warmer
temperatures were caused by normal
temperature variations rather than by global
warming.

snip

Gallup has previously documented a decline
in Americans' concern about the seriousness
of global warming, driven by greater
skepticism among conservatives and
Republicans. This conforms with skepticism
among the conservative news media about
the impact of human activities on global
warming and controversies about global
warming research in general.

snip

Downtown Hound

(12,618 posts)
7. Americans also once supported the Iraq War
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 07:46 PM
Mar 2012

In other words, as a whole, they're not the brightest bunch of folks.

FBaggins

(26,743 posts)
8. Over time they came to oppose the war
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 07:51 PM
Mar 2012

This poll shows fairly steady support (slightly improving over the last decade or so).



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