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elleng

(131,144 posts)
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:13 PM Feb 2015

Are Economists Overrated?

One in 100 articles in The New York Times over the past few years have used the term “economist,” a much greater rate than other academic professions, according to a recent article in The Upshot. Economic analysis and pronouncements are crucial to most policy decisions and debates.

But given the profession’s poor track record in forecasting and planning, and the continued struggles of many Americans, have we given economists too much authority?

http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2015/02/09/are-economists-overrated?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=c-column-top-span-region&region=c-column-top-span-region&WT.nav=c-column-top-span-region

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Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
1. Yes. Economists are like weathermen - there are a few really good ones...
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:20 PM
Feb 2015

...but most just tell you what you already know.

elleng

(131,144 posts)
3. I think so too, Irish, and further,
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:34 PM
Feb 2015

I said something like this (maybe more negative) to the wife of one, parents of one of our daughters' friends, at a birthday party, YEARS ago, and was NOT greeted with a smile! This from me as I, having never studied economics, was heavily involved, as staff counsel, in evaluating proposed major freight rail mergers, wherein I'd noticed the 'hot shot' economists retained by the carriers, and their opponents, shippers mostly, would concoct (my term) screwy arguments for positions I thought, and still think, are simply outlandish (yet accepted by some among the economists' trade.)

elleng

(131,144 posts)
6. Right, 'the scientific study of human society and social relationships.'
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:39 PM
Feb 2015

So one imposes scientific method on social relationships, I guess. NOT an easy thing to do!

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
5. Who can put a value on faith? Economists are high-priests of orthodoxy and ideological purity
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:39 PM
Feb 2015

Last edited Mon Feb 9, 2015, 05:56 PM - Edit history (1)

They speak their own language that the peasants and even most of the nobles can't understand. Their mathematical tests are indecipherable except to the initiated. They define and maintain what is acceptable bounds of commercial interactions and behavior. They are entirely self-selected according to the standards of their own tightly-knit, competing schools and cults.

In short, they are modern priesthood and ultimately serve themselves. They don't even make good beer.

Fuddnik

(8,846 posts)
8. Scientific Americans take on Economists...."The Economist Has No Clothes". Junk Science
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:49 PM
Feb 2015
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-economist-has-no-clothes/

The Economist Has No Clothes
Unscientific assumptions in economic theory are undermining efforts to solve environmental problems



Mar 17, 2008 |By Robert Nadeau
More In This Article



The 19th-century creators of neoclassical economics—the theory that now serves as the basis for coordinating activities in the global market system—are credited with transforming their field into a scientific discipline. But what is not widely known is that these now legendary economists—William Stanley Jevons, Léon Walras, Maria Edgeworth and Vilfredo Pareto—developed their theories by adapting equations from 19th-century physics that eventually became obsolete. Unfortunately, it is clear that neoclassical economics has also become outdated. The theory is based on unscientific assumptions that are hindering the implementation of viable economic solutions for global warming and other menacing environmental problems.

The physical theory that the creators of neoclassical economics used as a template was conceived in response to the inability of Newtonian physics to account for the phenomena of heat, light and electricity. In 1847 German physicist Hermann von Helmholtz formulated the conservation of energy principle and postulated the existence of a field of conserved energy that fills all space and unifies these phenomena. Later in the century James Maxwell, Ludwig Boltzmann and other physicists devised better explanations for electromagnetism and thermodynamics, but in the meantime, the economists had borrowed and altered Helmholtz’s equations.

The strategy the economists used was as simple as it was absurd—they substituted economic variables for physical ones. Utility (a measure of economic well-being) took the place of energy; the sum of utility and expenditure replaced potential and kinetic energy. A number of well-known mathematicians and physicists told the economists that there was absolutely no basis for making these substitutions. But the economists ignored such criticisms and proceeded to claim that they had transformed their field of study into a rigorously mathematical scientific discipline.

Strangely enough, the origins of neoclassical economics in mid-19th century physics were forgotten. Subsequent generations of mainstream economists accepted the claim that this theory is scientific. These curious developments explain why the mathematical theories used by mainstream economists are predicated on the following unscientific assumptions:

The market system is a closed circular flow between production and consumption, with no inlets or outlets.
Natural resources exist in a domain that is separate and distinct from a closed market system, and the economic value of these resources can be determined only by the dynamics that operate within this system.
The costs of damage to the external natural environment by economic activities must be treated as costs that lie outside the closed market system or as costs that cannot be included in the pricing mechanisms that operate within the system.
The external resources of nature are largely inexhaustible, and those that are not can be replaced by other resources or by technologies that minimize the use of the exhaustible resources or that rely on other resources.
There are no biophysical limits to the growth of market systems.

If the environmental crisis did not exist, the fact that neoclassical economic theory provides a coherent basis for managing economic activities in market systems could be viewed as sufficient justification for its widespread applications. But because the crisis does exist, this theory can no longer be regarded as useful even in pragmatic or utilitarian terms because it fails to meet what must now be viewed as a fundamental requirement of any economic theory—the extent to which this theory allows economic activities to be coordinated in environmentally responsible ways on a worldwide scale. Because neoclassical economics does not even acknowledge the costs of environmental problems and the limits to economic growth, it constitutes one of the greatest barriers to combating climate change and other threats to the planet. It is imperative that economists devise new theories that will take all the realities of our global system into account.

on point

(2,506 posts)
9. They took a serious wrong turn when they bought into Chicago School and that became orthodoxy
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 04:56 PM
Feb 2015

Since then their positions have been seriously out of touch with reality and they refuse to give up on their dogma (supply side con) even when presented with evidence.

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