Brazil's Rousseff extends lead over Silva in election poll

[Judi Lynn]

Brazil's Rousseff extends lead over Silva in election poll
Source: Reuters - Mon, 29 Sep 2014 21:00 GMT

By Anthony Boadle

BRASILIA, Sept 29 (Reuters) - President Dilma Rousseff is leading her closest rival Marina Silva by nine percentage points for a likely second-round runoff to Brazil's presidential election, a new opinion poll showed on Monday.
Rousseff would win the runoff with 47.7 percent of the votes against 38.7 percent for Silva, widening her lead from the one-point advantage she had in the previous survey by polling firm MDA last week.

The first round of Brazil's presidential election is on Sunday. If no candidate wins more than 50 percent of the valid votes, the election will be decided on Oct. 26 in a runoff between the top two vote-getters.
The election is being closely watched by investors who would like to see Silva, a popular environmentalist who has embraced pro-market policies, unseat leftist Rousseff and end 12 years of Workers' Party rule.

In a first round vote, Rousseff would take 40.4 percent of the votes and environmentalist Silva 25.2 percent, the MDA poll showed. That compares with 36 percent for Rousseff and 27 percent for Silva in the previous MDA poll. Support for centrist candidate Aecio Neves, the market favorite stuck in third place, has risen to 19.8 percent from 17.6 percent last week.

More:
http://www.trust.org/item/20140929210053-a2q1b/

[Judi Lynn]

1. Forbes: Meet The Multimillionaire Banking Heir Who Is Backing Brazil's Marina Silva Presidential Bid

8/27/2014 @ 12:36下午 7,765 views
Meet The Multimillionaire Banking Heir Who Is Backing Brazil's Marina Silva Presidential Bid

Brazil’s presidential elections were turned upside down two weeks ago when a fatal jet crash killed presidential candidate Eduardo Campos. Campos’ running mate Marina Silva replaced him on the ticket and is already leading in the polls. Investors from around the world are watching Silva, an environmental leader who placed third in the 2010 presidential election as a then Green Party (PV) candidate, with nearly 20% of the votes. (Silva has since left PV to found a new party, the “Sustainability Network,” but it failed to achieve the required number of signatures from new members and was ineligible to register with the Electoral Court.)

Last October, 56-year-old Silva was invited by Eduardo Campos to form a ticket to run for the presidency, and joined his Brazilian Socialist party (PSB) as Campos’ vice-president in its presidential bid. After his tragic death, Silva was the natural choice to replace him, though she has made it clear that as soon as her party gets legalized she will leave the PSB.

The simple fact that she could win the election has had a positive impact on the markets. The consensus is that anything is worth it to oust Rousseff and revive Brazil’s economy, which has been hit by slow growth and high inflation due to the left-leaning policies of Rousseff’s Workers’ Party government. Shares of the Bovespa rose to an 18-month high last week on increasing hopes of a victory for Silva or Aecio Neves, the main opposition candidate, both of whom say they would intervene less in the economy and be friendlier to business.

One of Silva’s biggest backers is banking heir and philanthropist Maria Alice Setubal, more commonly referred to as Neca, who is also acting as a campaign coordinator for the candidate. A member of one of Brazil’s most distinguished banking dynasties, Setubal is a shareholder of Sao Paulo-based conglomerate Itausa, which has interests in finance, real estate and a range of industries. Itausa also controls Itau Unibanco, the largest bank in the southern hemisphere with total assets of $500 billion.

More:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/andersonantunes/2014/08/27/meet-the-multi-millionaire-banking-heir-who-is-backing-brazils-marina-silva-presidential-bid/

[Judi Lynn]

2. Al Jazeera: Is Marina Silva the right choice for Brazil?

Brazil's 'accidental' presidential candidate

Is Marina Silva the right choice for Brazil?

Last updated: 23 Sep 2014 06:45

~snip~

Different background


With her background being quite different from the regular ruling elite - a woman of African descent from Amazonia - she has been portrayed favourably by the international media both as a disruptive force and as a welcome departure from the usual suspectsrunning Brazil (Rousseff's workers' party has been in power for more than a decade). Silva has even been depicted as a kind of "green" heroine, all of a sudden popping up on the political field to save Brazil from corruption.

But not all disruption is good. The country's progressives and those who know Silva's past, and her political trajectory, see little to be thankful for should she become the president of Latin America's largest country.

In her early days, Silva worked on a number of projects with Chico Mendes, an environmental activist working to preserve the Amazonian forest. When Mendes was assassinated by a rancher in 1988, Silva appeared on the scene soon after as his "disciple". Her name often appeared with that of Mendes who had become an international martyr.

Yet Silva's environmentalism is questionable. During her time as the minister of environment, she was often criticised for her inability to implement programmes and to mediate effectively between competing interest groups.

Unable to resolve her disagreements with the government and political opponents, she resigned in 2008, after five years of serving in the ministry; an act of frustration which revealed her inability to form political alliances to implement her political agenda.

When Silva presented her proposed governing plan for her campaign, it looked like an improvisation that was hastily put together by combining various doctrines. She was even accused of plagiarism with parts of the doctrine directly taken from other texts.

More:
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2014/09/brazil-accidental-presidential--201492211150907256.html

[Judi Lynn]

3. Rousseff Takes Lead in MDA Poll as Brazilian Vote Nears

Rousseff Takes Lead in MDA Poll as Brazilian Vote Nears
By Raymond Colitt Sep 29, 2014 10:00 PM CT

Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff has pulled out ahead and would win next month’s election against former Environment Minister Marina Silva in an MDA poll.

Rousseff has 47.7 percent support against 38.7 percent for Silva in a probable runoff election, according to the Sept. 27-28 poll published yesterday by the National Transport Confederation that has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points. Rousseff had 42 percent against Silva’s 41 percent in the previous poll, conducted Sept. 20-21.

While Silva initially captured support from voters dissatisfied with above-target inflation and a slowing economy, her challengers have attacked her proposals as contradictory and questioned her ability to form a majority in Congress. The Ibovespa plunged the most among major stock indexes yesterday and the real slumped to a 13-month low as Rousseff’s chance of winning a second four-year-term increased.

“Dilma’s the favorite again,” Andre Pereira Cesar, director of public policy and business strategy consulting company Prospectiva, said by telephone from Brasilia yesterday. “Marina has been unable to respond to criticism and will have to reshape her campaign.”

More:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-30/rousseff-takes-lead-in-mda-poll-as-brazilian-vote-nears.html

[Judi Lynn]

4. Rousseff widens lead over Silva in Brazil election poll

Rousseff widens lead over Silva in Brazil election poll
BRASILIA Thu Oct 2, 2014 11:10pm BST


(Reuters) - Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff has extended her lead over environmentalist Marina Silva ahead of the Oct. 5 presidential election and would win a likely second-round runoff, a new poll showed on Thursday.

Rousseff has 43 percent of voter support against 36 percent for Silva, according to the survey by the Ibope polling firm, widening her advantage to seven percentage points from four since the previous poll released on Tuesday.

In first-round voting that takes place on Sunday, Rousseff has 40 percent voter support and Silva 24 percent. That compares with 39 percent for Rousseff and 25 percent for Silva in the previous Ibope poll. Support for centrist candidate Aecio Neves was unchanged at 19 percent.

If no candidate wins an outright majority in the first round, the election will be decided in a runoff between the two leading candidates on Oct. 26.

More:
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/10/02/uk-brazil-election-poll-idUKKCN0HR2JW20141002?rpc=401&

[Judi Lynn]

5. Rousseff pulls clear in race for Brazil presidency: poll

Rousseff pulls clear in race for Brazil presidency: poll
Friday, 03 October 2014 10:47
Posted by Parvez Jabri

RIO DE JANEIRO: Marina Silva is losing ground in the race for the Brazilian presidency and may not even make the run-off, an opinion poll showed Thursday, three days ahead of the vote.

For the first time last week, polls put the environmentalist and Socialist Party candidate behind incumbent Dilma Rousseff in the event of a run-off, and put her neck-and-neck with Social Democrat Aecio Neves, who for weeks had been running a distant third.

But the latest poll by the Datafolha firm showed Silva was continuing to slip back, just when it matters most.

Silva only became the Socialist Party candidate after her running-mate Eduardo Campos died in an air crash. She got off to a strong start and a surge in support put her ahead in the polls, but she has since been losing momentum badly.

Brazil's first round of presidential voting is on Sunday, after which a run-off is likely.

Datafolha put Rousseff in front on 40 percent of first-round voter intentions, and Silva down a point on just 24, compared to 21 for Neves, who was up one.

That left the pair within the two-percent margin of error and Silva down 10 percent from a month ago.

http://www.brecorder.com/world/south-america/198392.html

[Judi Lynn]

6. Dilma Rousseff in poll position as Brazilians set to vote for their wallets

Dilma Rousseff in poll position as Brazilians set to vote for their wallets

Despite a turbulent year, the president has emerged as favourite to top Sunday’s election, as support for her rivals slips away

Jonathan Watts in Rio de Janeiro
The Guardian, Friday 3 October 2014 07.29 EDT

A little over a year ago, Júlia da Luz Bueno was among the million or so protesters who waved placards and chanted for change in the biggest protests Brazil has seen in a generation. This Sunday, however, she will go to the polling booth and vote for continuity: the re-election of Dilma Rousseff, the candidate for the ruling Workers party, as president.

The science student sees no contradiction. Although many things could be better, Da Luz Bueno thinks the country is on the right track, particularly with regard to economic measures that aim to address one of the world’s most unequal societies.
“In general, things have greatly improved for everyone in Brazil, especially for the poor,” she says. “I think Brazilians have confidence in the development of Brazil despite the large challenges we still face.”

Her views are widely shared, according to opinion polls, which suggest the electorate will give a clear, but inconclusive victory to Rousseff in this weekend’s elections for the presidency thanks largely to her income redistribution policies.

~snip~
If the surveys are accurate, that would set the stage on 26 October for a first-ever run-off between two women to decide who leads this traditionally macho nation and the world’s seventh largest economy.

Both have extraordinary backgrounds. Rousseff is a former Marxist activist who was imprisoned and tortured during the military dictatorship. Silva is from a poor, mixed-race family of Amazonian rubber-tappers who campaigned alongside the late union activist and environmentalist Chico Mendes.

More:
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/oct/03/dilma-rousseff-election-brazil-vote-president

[center]

Dilma Rousseff, prisoner during the US-supported military junta in Brazil.



Dilma Rousseff, with previous Brazilian President Luis Inacio Lula da Silva.[/center]

[Zorro]

7. You certainly like talking to yourself, don't cha?

[Judi Lynn]

8. Some people would see it as adding new articles as they arise on the subject. n/t

[Zorro]

10. You're correct.

It's certainly a more refreshing and agreeable approach than the usual carpet bombing of related articles posted to the group.

[Bacchus4.0]

11. Indeed, much better than spamming this forum. A forum for herself would be a good idea n/t

[Bacchus4.0]

9. haha n/t