Latin America
Related: About this forumChavez supporters attack peaceful demonstration in Maracaibo CNE (video)
Reminds me of the Arab Spring.
Bacchus4.0
(6,837 posts)these are the "revolutionaries" that are adored by the DU chavistas.
kenlayisalive
(3 posts)The 1% in Venezuela didn't get what they want and will murder and destroy until they get it.
Reminds Rightwing clown OP of the Arab Spring. Maybe he is excited about the possibilities of 60,000 deaths. Reminds me more of the Iraq War and coup in Chile though.
If there is anyone here who considers themselves to be a leftist and doesn't think that our fortunes are bound up with the poor people struggling for a better life in Venezuela, you are gravely fooling yourself.
We lose there, we lose here.
Bacchus4.0
(6,837 posts)s
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Sorry buddy, the people in Venezuela didn't buy the right-wing jargon.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Do you think the trend is for the chavistas in the long run?
Not the way they're acting now, I don't think.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)This election was about today. The Chavistas have a lot they need to fix up in Venezuela, but they have the right to fix it since they won.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)And to do that they should allow an open and transparent count and analysis of the election.
Why won't they do that? The country is split. They must do something to prevent future violence. So far it's been extremely peaceful.
naaman fletcher
(7,362 posts)Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Venezuela certainly has problems, but the people decided to stick with the Chavistas and not return to the days of a neo-liberal shock doctrine.
naaman fletcher
(7,362 posts)and it's all a right wing lie.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)I look at this strictly through the prism of majority-rules. I don't consider myself a "supporter" of either side since i'm not a Venezuelan citizen. But i do know the people spoke, there's still no hard evidence of fraud, so its time to move on.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)That's what the Republicans say every election that people are disenfranchised.
naaman fletcher
(7,362 posts)What do you think about the fact that the opposition got the majority of votes in the national assembly, yet the ruling party claimed 60+% of the seats?
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Don't like gerrymandering, but you have to play by the rules. If they had an Electoral College and Capriles had won while losing the popular vote, i would say the same thing.
naaman fletcher
(7,362 posts)mecherosegarden
(745 posts)And crime, and corruption, and the government not following the constitution and changing the constitution as they please.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)joshcryer
(62,270 posts)In fact, Venezuela Analysis attributed his 20 point gain on his populist rhetoric (which of course they turned right around and said he was feigning).
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)But he also said he would stop shipping oil to Cuba, hence ending the Cuban missions there. I bet that didn't help him very much in the barrios. Who knows, he might have won had he said he would maintain the status quo with Cuba.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)There's no reason to believe he was dishonest about his policy proposals.
He said he would give amnesty to Cubans if they asked.
He probably wouldn't have won if he said he'd maintain the status quo with Cuba because Venezuelans aren't stupid and they see the half billion in free money they are giving Cuba.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)so it couldn't have hurt to have a more conciliatory line towards Cuba. And that money is not free. Venezuela gets thousands of doctors and teachers to help its poor and most vulnerable. I'm betting those folks who get those services don't care how much the price tag is.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)It was what the people wanted to hear, apparently.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)51>49. Capriles still hasn't made that jump over 50.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Not sure what you're saying.
The trend he had going was 60k votes a day (the campaign was only 10 days). Had he been allowed another week to campaign this would've been an entirely different story.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)What i'm saying is Capriles gained ground on the Chavistas, but it still wasn't enough. He still has folks he needs to win over in order to win the Presidency if he wants to in 2018.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Jailing the leader of nearly half the country is not the right way to go about that.
naaman fletcher
(7,362 posts)He said that instead of giving away oil on the cheap, he would sell it for cash and use the cash to pay for services. That is much more transparent.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Bacchus4.0
(6,837 posts)they only thing they fix are elections and their bank accounts.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)The people spoke. Clearly they didn't think the Chavistas were as bad as you say they are. Don't like it, take it up with them.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)They stayed the course.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)51 trumps 49. It doesn't get much more simple than that. Capriles can try again in 2018. But for now, move on and get over it.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Capriles can't say that.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Daniel537
(1,560 posts)I don't automatically buy into all these conspiracy theories of voter fraud by this side or that side. I like to see actual evidence.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Well, I did. At the minimum it should've been looked in to and not dismissed as what happened with Kerry (unfortunately Kerry didn't come out and ask for the investigations).
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)I'm not one of these people who mindlessly claims shenanigans because my side lost. Maybe Kerry should have called for an investigation, but he didn't and once you concede that's it.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Capriles has claimed that and I think it would be stupid of him to claim that without evidence, but otherwise I am merely supporting a calm, sane, response to the allegations across the board. Not arresting the leader of 49% of the population, not dismissing allegations of fraud before even seeing them, etc.
Leaders lead, they say, "OK, I see what you're saying, let's look in to it." You don't even have to be bipartisan to behave this way, this is just common human decency when something is going down. When a house is on fire it doesn't matter the ideological background, everyone will try to help out.
Maduro is promising to burn Venezuela's house down.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)That's the CNE's call, and right now they say no.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Of course you are right that it is entirely up tot he CNE.
But the CNE can't say no if they haven't had a formal request.
That's just dirty politics.
They'll of course say no to the formal request.
Bacchus4.0
(6,837 posts)they voted for that buffoon Chavez over and over again. I can still point out their inept and criminal behavoir, and certainly am under no obligation to support the incompetent administration.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)None other than Diosdado Cabello.
I am not excited about the death in the Arab Spring. The death in the Arab Spring could've not happened had those in power heeded the will of their people. Likewise, in Venezuela, all it takes is respect for the count.
The youth are fickle like that. If they don't get what they want, they will take to the streets.
flamingdem
(39,313 posts)where the US expects a manifest destiny wink wink nod understanding among elites and enforces it with thugs like Otto Reich.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)that even Capriles is distancing himself from them and their vile acts of violence and thuggery. Get over it, the election is over.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)And the opposition makes up 49% of the population.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Calling the elected President "illegitimate", with no evidence, and urging people to take to the streets. Gee, i wonder what that leads to. And last i checked 49% is not a majority.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Venezuela is a very violent country, in the top 5-10 in the world. Guns are everywhere. Hundreds of people die needlessly every week. Please don't concern me with the inciting to violence crap.
I agree that Capriles shouldn't have said what he did without evidence, but he's shown a chunk of the evidence already, and they're probably going to arrest him before he can formally present it. So don't worry, no one has to care about anyone doing any investigations and any violence in support of Capriles after being arrested will be on Maduro's hands.
ocpagu
(1,954 posts)"but he's shown a chunk of the evidence already"
He didn't show anything. Anything other than whining.
Whining is no reason for a recount. As soon as he presents one, one single real evidence of fraud he'll have my support for it.
I'm still waiting.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)I'd watched his press conference and not gone over what he alleged (which was disproven in another post). There are still other allegations of fraud, but I concede that the evidence he showed was wrong.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)Why don't you go look at it, and then show me how violent the opposition really is.
This right wing narrative that the opposition is pulling Venezuela down into chaos is bullshit, it's exactly what the US wants, because a Venezuela divided and fighting itself would be very vulnerable.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)De-stabilizing the country, dividing it further. Seems pretty clear to me. If Capriles had called on the people to accept the results and move on, he would have done the nation a great favor. But he just couldn't resist.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)There's no question about it. Just as the US is OK with certain Arab Spring actions. When it suites the US, back it.
But Maduro could nip this in the bud so quick it's a joke. Do the recount. Simple stuff, Daniel.
Why Maduro would escalate this thing I don't know. Perhaps in fact his inner circle is infiltrated by US interests and he's getting bad advice. De-escalation would be to simply count the votes / do the audits / listen to the claims of fraud.
Instead it sounds like he's going out and arresting Capriles and Lopez.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)That doesn't mean you take them all as fact. I'm just asking to see some evidence of fraud. Simple as that. And apparently the CNE agrees with me since they say a recount ain't happening.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)So why would they say that before seeing the allegations?
I remember Katherine Harris saying she'd sign the vote without the recount. We didn't like that then.
The CNE has acted really irresponsibly because for the 49% of Venezuelans who voted for Capriles it's as if their grievances aren't being heard.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Did the Chavistas block people from voting? Did they stuff the ballot? Did they force people to vote? You can't claim shenanigans just because your side lost.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)The allegations should be looked in to by the CNE and Maduro's government would do itself and Venezuela a favor by simply doing it and laughing at Capriles for being stupid. That's what I'd do if I was confident I won. Why the escalation and the dismissal of 49% of the country is beyond me. It makes no sense.
(Ironically Maduro, at his acceptance speech, said he'd accept a total and full recount, but the next day they backed off of that and claimed otherwise; why?)
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)And right now they don't seem to be buying it.
naaman fletcher
(7,362 posts)about the authorities in Florida whose job it was to decide?
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)joshcryer
(62,270 posts)That's what Katherine Harris did too.
Note: I'm on record saying nothing will happen, not sure why I'm wasting my time, really. I just want to make sure my position is clear and that the position of the opposition is clear, because there are people on this forum posting misleading BS that the opposition is fascist and taking the country down.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)You really think they would maintain the safety net for the poor in Venezuela? They constantly bash the misiones and blame Cuba for most of the ills in the country. Please, they are right-wing teabagger kooks. You don't need to be a Chavista to see that.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)I have no reason to believe the entire thing is a facade.
And the 10% of chavistas that Capriles won over agree with me.
It's that dang 1%...
(No doubt if the situation was flipped we'd already be well on our way to a recount though!)
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)Have you seen some of the representatives they have in the National Assembly? There are some wingnuts there that could give Michele Bachmann and Steve King a run for their money.
joshcryer
(62,270 posts)No doubt we can both find crazies in the National Assembly.
MCM, for instance, is a firecracker wingnut (and not to be sexist but I find her weirdly attractive even though she's a total right winger and not normally my type). She actually said to Chavez' face he's a thief. It was the first and only time I ever saw Chavez flustered. (You may say he wasn't flustered, but I expected a much bigger comeback than that.)
Other than that, no, I followed Capriles, I listened as he called for the missiones to be enshrined into law, I listened as he said he'd cut off extremely disproportionate oil deals to other "friendly" countries, I listened as he denounced associations with dictatorships abroad, I listened as he denounced the devaluation and called for a 40% wage increase months before it even crossed Maduro's mind, I listened as he suggested amnesty for Cubans who wanted to stay in Venezuela (and a pay raise, at that).
And now I expect Maduro will use this attempt at escalation to blame the opposition for his not being able to live up to his own promises.