Polls Give Strong Leads to Nicolas Maduro

[Catherina]

Polls Give Strong Leads to Nicolas Maduro

By Lee Brown - Venezuela Solidarity Campaign, April 4th 2013



With 10 days to go until Venezuelans elect their next President, polls show that Hugo Chávez’s favoured successor, Nicolas Maduro, is set to achieve another landslide victory for the progressive alliance that has governed Venezuela since 1998.

In the seven polls undertaken so far, Maduro has an average of 52.6%, a 16% lead over his right-wing rival Henrique Capriles Radonski who trails behind on 36.3% (see graph 1).

Just 11% responded by saying that they did not yet know who they would vote for, or that they would not vote. These figures mean that even if there was a 100% turnout and every one of the ‘undecideds’ backed Capriles, this would not be enough to overturn Maduro’s lead.

The polls also suggest another very high turnout following last October’s record 81% participation, when Hugo Chavez beat Henrique Capriles by 55% to 44%.

Nicolas Maduro’s lead widens further when looking at only those who have expressed a preference. Maduro has an average score of 59.2% compared to 40.8% for Capriles, a huge lead of 18.4% (see graph 2).

Even amongst Henrique Capriles’ supporters, there is a belief that Nicolas Maduro will win. For example according to the latest IVAD poll 64% think Maduro will be elected and only 23% think Capriles will be . Other pollsters show similar patterns. Datanalisis shows 62% believe Maduro will be president against just 20% for Capriles.

The huge leads for Nicolas Maduro reflect the ongoing popularity of the policies of the Hugo Chavez led governments over the past 14 years, in which Maduro played a central role. For example, pollster GIS XXI found that 77% of Venezuelans believed that the situation in Venezuela under Hugo Chavez had been ‘good’ or ‘very good’. The IVAD poll found that 84% described the Hugo Chavez administration over 14 years as having performed positively, with 15% saying it was negative.

Needless to say, these huge endorsements of the Hugo Chávez presidency have barely featured in much of the western media’s assessments of his legacy. But the Venezuelan people themselves are clear on the huge social progress that Hugo Chávez achieved as President of Venezuela.

(See Polls Below)








Source: VSC

http://venezuelanalysis.com/analysis/8491

This work is licensed under a Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives Creative Commons license

[ocpagu]

1. Glad to know it. Thanks for sharing.

I was very impressed by this:

"The IVAD poll found that 84% described the Hugo Chavez administration over 14 years as having performed positively, with 15% saying it was negative."

That's the overwhelming majority of Venezuelans speaking for themselves about Chávez's legacy (not to mention it's very, very difficult to keep such a high approval rating for such a long time).

[Catherina]

2. And we all know who those 15% are

It warms my heart to see how much the majority loves Chavez despite all the machinations of the complicit elite/business class and the man coming from the other hemisphere.

This song is about Argentina but the drift is the same

The last part (untranslated) when the man sings, is: "Poverty is not dishonour if it is lived with dignity. In memory of Marco, Guevara, and Zapata, together to victory."

La pobresa no es desonra si se vive con dignidad
en la lucha de los pueblos en memoria
de Marco, Guevara, Zapata
Juntos hasta la Victoria

[ocpagu]

3. Wow. Simply beautiful!

And the lyrics are amazing and quite universal. Wonderful!

Yes, we all know who are those in the minority. The same in Brazil, in Chile, in Argentina, Uruguay and elsewhere.

Thank you again!

[Catherina]

4. The people are barely getting warmed up

I love your graphic.

If you like her, check her out on youtube. Just search for Keny Arkana English if you don't understand French. She's internationally loved by the Left.

[ocpagu]

5. I know some French, but I'm not able to understand when it's sung so quickly.

Smooth voice, progressive lyrics and the beautifull French language? I'll certainly look for more.

[Catherina]

8. I think you'll be pleased with what you find

[Judi Lynn]

6. Never have heard anything like this. Wonderful. "La lucha sigue." Thanks. n/t

[Catherina]

7. Glad you liked it. She's one of my favorites

She ranks right up there with Rebel Diaz and Immortal Technique for social consciousness

[frylock]

9. yeh, one poster here is already shitting his pants

[Peace Patriot]

10. Did you see the Associated Pukes 'news' article about it today?

"Opposition leader says Chavez's successor won't last" --Associated Pukes 4/6/13

Don't have the url. Read it in my morning paper. It is UNFRIGGINGBELIEVABLE in its open, baldfaced campaigning for Capriles and putdown of Maduro--treating Maduro, whom all polls give a 10% to 20% lead among Venezuela voters, almost as if he did not exist. Really, my jaw dropped. I've been following this disgusting corporate media campaign against the Chavez government for over a decade. And I have never seen anything this bad. I'm going to analyze it here late tonight when I have the time.

We might as well have the Pravda of Stalin's Russia as a monopoly 'news service.'

"1984" is here. The coin has been flipped. Now it's our Corporate Rulers who are the Stalinist "Big Liars."

"1984," "Pravda" and "Alice in Wonderland"--all wrapped up in one toxic disinformation package. That's the Associated Pukes, et al.

[joshcryer]

11. It was posted in this forum. It was an interview of Capriles.

What, you think that, in an interview with Capriles, they should focus on ... Maduro?

If you want to see 1984 just watch a Cadena International.

[Peace Patriot]

13. Nope, it was an Associated Pukes NEWS article...

...posted on the NEWS page and PARADING as...ahem...objective journalism. It was NOT an interview. Most of this alleged 'news' article was presented as the opinion of the anonymous 'news' reporter. He or she just regurgitated Capriles' campaign platform 'talking points' and the reasons why Maduro is a total loser, unprompted by Capriles and without quotes or attribution.

I really could not believe my eyes--and I've seen one helluva lot of anti-Chavez propaganda parading as 'news.' This was wa-a-a-a-a-a-a-a-a-y over the top!

And it is the ONLY article about the Venezuelan election--in which Maduro is 10% to 20% ahead in the polls (all polls)--in this particular newspaper. This should have been an article that STARTED with Maduro and his supporters, and gave readers some GENUINE understanding of his huge support, NOT starting with the opposition candidate, for EIGHT PARAGRAPHS, who is way BEHIND in the polls, and thinks Maduro is going to fail as a president--an opinion that the anonymous AP writer just goes with and does his/her own riffs on, with Maduro relegated to a couple of snide paragraphs at the end of the article!

It was unbelievably biased--so upside down as to give a COMPLETELY WRONG picture of the election--of Venezuela, of Maduro, of Capriles, of EVERYTHING.

Alice. In. Wonderland.

Remember the "Red Queen" who orders that all the white roses be PAINTED red? That's the Associated Pukes.

[joshcryer]

15. It was an interview.

It was an interview. Holy crap. It was an interview! Read the article again. It's posted in this forum. AP has an interview with Capriles. That's what it say! What the fuck.

[Peace Patriot]

16. The article I read was NOT an interview. Nor did it refer to any interview.

It was a straight-on 'news' article, which 'reported' on the election entirely from Capriles' point of view, most of it NOT IN QUOTES. It was not in interview format, nor did it mention an interview (for instance, "'Blah, blah, blah,' Capriles said, in an interview with AP"--there was nothing like that in the article). It was presented as 'news' in the 'news' section of the paper. It blatantly promotes Capriles, and disses--and belittles and marginalizes--Maduro. It is the most biased 'news' article I have ever read.

So, what you're telling me is that the Associated Pukes set this up. They interviewed Capriles IN ORDER TO promote him in a 'news' article. This doesn't surprise me at all. I'm sure they do this all the time--seek out rightwingers for extensive interviews which they transform into propagandistic 'news.' Question: WHERE IS THEIR 'INTERVIEW' OF MADURO? WHERE IS THEIR QUOTE BY MADURO RESPONDING TO CAPRILES' BARBS?

They make no effort whatever to be fair. It is full-on propaganda. I am talking about the 'news' article I read. I know what I read. The reporter freely characterizes Maduro exactly as Capriles would characterize him and has characterized him, BUT IN THE REPORTER'S WORDS AND GUISE. Together, Capriles AND THE REPORTER beat up on Maduro. There is no quote by Maduro, nor even by a Maduro supporter, in answer to all this, a) dissing of Maduro, and b) promotion of Capriles' agenda.

And, trust me, there is not going to be an Associated Pukes article giving "the other side." To the Associated Pukes, there IS no other side. The man whom most Venezuelans are going to vote for is a footnote, to them, as are the Venezuelan people themselves. Maduro is a non-entity, going to fail like Capriles predicts. So why bother interviewing Maduro, or getting a quote from Maduro, in answer to Capriles' insults and threats, or talking to one or two of the millions of people who are going to vote for Maduro? They DON'T COUNT. ONLY Capriles' agenda counts with the Associated Pukes. That's why I call them "the Associated Pukes." They are ADVOCATES for the rightwing, on behalf of the 1%, and they USE 'news' FOR THEIR ADVOCACY. It's just as if this alleged 'news' article came from the P.R. office of the Republican Party.

[joshcryer]

17. It was posted here and yes it was an interview:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/110812322

It was an interview.

Maduro won't let many people interview him (Capriles will take any chance he can get).

Maduro recently allowed a newspaper to interview him here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/110812409

Now, we see that's a Maduro interview, and I could've comically posted your "problem" with the interview (verbatim quoting you), but I'm above that.

Interviews are supposed to be about the person being interviewed, not about the other person or anyone else!

[Judi Lynn]

12. Truly creepy. Can't get more blatant than that. n/t

[Catherina]

14. I saw it and lol'd at how desperate they are

It's just like the last election when that lizard was running against Chavez and neoliberals were pissing in their pants from joy that the lizard was going to "win". How delusional can you get?

The Venezuelan people aren't giving up their revolution any more than US Blacks are going back to slavery. There's no debate about this even possible. As Chavez replied when that lizard wanted to debate him “Un debate, ¿pero con quién? ¿Un debate con quién?”