Five Thirty Eight has flipped Wisconsin back to Clinton

[DavidDvorkin]

Narrowly -- 51% to 49%. I assume that's because of the new Loras College poll, which puts her ahead by six points.

So it could well end up close to being a 50-50 split, which would be a major loss for Sanders.

[mcar]

1. A close race is a lose for Sanders

And a win for HRC!

[SharonClark]

2. OMG - I hope so

[Iamaartist]

3. Great hope it stays!!!!!

[livetohike]

4. That would be great to win it! Thanks for posting some good news!

[SaschaHM]

5. Imagine the turmoil at Sander's HQ...

if he lost Wisconsin on Tuesday. GD-P would need counseling sooner than later. I don't think he would concede, but his campaign has talked up the state as a must win for himself.

[kcjohn1]

6. Lorias College Poll is GARBAGE

10 days out of Iowa, they had it 59-30 for Clinton.

[DavidDvorkin]

8. Nate Silver must think highly of it.

[stopbush]

7. College IDs will not be accepted as part of WI's new voter laws.

That means that many potential Sanders voters will be turned away. Being low-info, feeling-entitled types, they probably don't even know the ID requirements.

I understand state DMV offices are dealing with last-minute requests for proper ID.

BTW - I think this ID requirement is unadulterated voter suppression. But it's there, and it needs to be dealt with in the acceptable ways if people want to vote. Complaining afterward won't help.

[Her Sister]

10. but it will also affect others like minorities

and POC from what I understand. So bad from both sides, actually.

[SaschaHM]

14. True, but

PoC have been on the frontlines on this issue. Fighting this issue for months as it adversely affects them more, whereas college kids are now broaching the subject. I'd expect those fighting it to be prepared for this day more that many Sander's supporters who are now learning about the VRA.

[KitSileya]

15. Voter suppression is bad, and HRC is fighting it in WI

She's got her lawyer cooperating with local people, working on a lawsuit. I wonder what the BS campaign is doing about it? A whole lot of nothing so that they can complain about it after and blame Hillary when they lose?

[stopbush]

9. I think Trump's gaffes this week coupled with the attacks in Brussels

will lead people to take another look at Hillary.

Bernie's pie-in-the-sky plans, disinterest in foreign policy and lame responses to Trump's attacks on women have put questions in people's minds about him as president. Even if you think Hillary is an evil corporatist, at least she's our evil corporatist (ha!) - sometimes the only way to fight fire is with fire.

Unicorns and butterflies just don't cut it when reality rears its ugly head.

[still_one]

11. It's close, with Sander's having a slight advantage

[LiberalFighter]

12. Interesting!

[Satch59]

13. In her last 5 state primary sweep...

Wasn't she slated to lose 1 or 2 of them? I'm hoping she pulls this one off, even a couple point win is a huge loss for berniville...

[misterhighwasted]

18. Yup. Make my day Wisconsin!

[misterhighwasted]

16. Major Loss. and wait till NY tells him what they think of his campaign

He is finished.

[BlueCaliDem]

24. Man! From your keyboard to god's ears!

I'm so done with him myself.

[DemonGoddess]

17. K&R!

[geek tragedy]

20. I'm gonna be the pessimist and say this state is just a demographic nightmare for Clinton

Last edited Sat Apr 2, 2016, 06:41 PM - Edit history (1)

Much whiter than average, lots of college kids, this is Feingold territory and Feingold is Sanders's ideological twin

That poll shows a much smaller than normal lead for Sanders amongst 17-29 year olds

If she holds it under 10, long term victory--she'll trade a run for an out here

[Gothmog]

21. This will be an interesting primary to follow

[Dawson Leery]

22. A 20 point loss in NY will give her another 70 delegates

then Bernie will finally "feel the bern".

[Tarheel_Dem]

23. All the analysts say that at this point, simply "winning" is not enough for BS. He needs landslides

from here on out. If Hillary keeps him within single digits, either way, there's no way for him to climb out of his delegate funk.