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CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 10:55 AM Mar 2016

Polls for Remaining March Primaries and Caucuses

The 6 remaining state primaries and caucuses scheduled for the remainder March are actually more favorable for Sanders than past groups nomination contests. Of those 6 states, there are polls available for 4 of them. I couldn't find any polls for Washington and Hawaii.

3/22/16:

In Idaho, Sanders has a 2% lead .

In Utah Clinton has a 8.5% lead.

In Arizona Clinton has a 30% lead.

3/26/16:

In Alaska Clinton has a 3% lead.

Washington - no poll

Hawaii - no poll

So if the polls are reasonably accurate Sanders has an opportunity to win two states and maybe an out side chance of coming close or even winning a third. However, there is no indication that he will win any of those states with the margins necessary to start to close Clinton's large lead in pledged delegates. In fact with Arizona (which has more delegates available than Idaho, Utah and Alaska combined) in the mix there is every indication that Sanders will fall even further behind.

Of course the unknowns are Hawaii and Washington. Hopefully we will get some good poling data in the next few days.

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Polls for Remaining March Primaries and Caucuses (Original Post) CajunBlazer Mar 2016 OP
Are these % leads or point leads? Tommy2Tone Mar 2016 #1
They are percentage point leads CajunBlazer Mar 2016 #2
Thanks for the heads up. Tommy2Tone Mar 2016 #5
At this rate, he will fall further behind Clinton on the 22nd and maybe 26th, with time running out. George II Mar 2016 #3
Looks good! n/t livetohike Mar 2016 #4
The media says time runs out tomorrow. yallerdawg Mar 2016 #6
Latest Utah poll has Sanders up by 8--in fact, book_worm Mar 2016 #7
The stench of "loser" is enveloping the Sanders campaign since last Tuesday. stopbush Mar 2016 #11
If the votes go the way of these polls, sufrommich Mar 2016 #8
KNR Thank you! Lucinda Mar 2016 #9
Thanks for posting Gothmog Mar 2016 #10
I think he'll win Washington, but not by as much as Obama did in 2008 LisaM Mar 2016 #12
He will certainly win Washington and Hawaii. Chichiri Mar 2016 #13

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)
2. They are percentage point leads
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:04 AM
Mar 2016

i.e. Candidate A scores 52% in a poll and Candidate B scores 48% = 4% lead for Candidate A.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
7. Latest Utah poll has Sanders up by 8--in fact,
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:24 AM
Mar 2016

with the exception of probably Arizona--I would say that Sanders in favored in Utah, Idaho and probably Alaska. They are all open caucuses and Sanders performs much better there.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
11. The stench of "loser" is enveloping the Sanders campaign since last Tuesday.
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 04:46 PM
Mar 2016

As I pointed out in another thread, the press corp has deserted his campaign plane. Never a good sign.

Independent votes will be depressed tomorrow. I have a feeling Hillary is going to do great...again.

sufrommich

(22,871 posts)
8. If the votes go the way of these polls,
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 11:25 AM
Mar 2016

he has little chance of matching her in delegates,let alone gaining delegate.

LisaM

(27,818 posts)
12. I think he'll win Washington, but not by as much as Obama did in 2008
Mon Mar 21, 2016, 07:20 PM
Mar 2016

I'm unclear as to why there hasn't been polling. And, that said, most of the Hillary supporters I know are kind of keeping it under the radar, too. Weather could be a factor in turnout, we've been having a mix of semi-nice days and deluges. It's also Easter weekend.

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