Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumPolls for Remaining March Primaries and Caucuses
The 6 remaining state primaries and caucuses scheduled for the remainder March are actually more favorable for Sanders than past groups nomination contests. Of those 6 states, there are polls available for 4 of them. I couldn't find any polls for Washington and Hawaii.
3/22/16:
In Idaho, Sanders has a 2% lead .
In Utah Clinton has a 8.5% lead.
In Arizona Clinton has a 30% lead.
3/26/16:
In Alaska Clinton has a 3% lead.
Washington - no poll
Hawaii - no poll
So if the polls are reasonably accurate Sanders has an opportunity to win two states and maybe an out side chance of coming close or even winning a third. However, there is no indication that he will win any of those states with the margins necessary to start to close Clinton's large lead in pledged delegates. In fact with Arizona (which has more delegates available than Idaho, Utah and Alaska combined) in the mix there is every indication that Sanders will fall even further behind.
Of course the unknowns are Hawaii and Washington. Hopefully we will get some good poling data in the next few days.
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)Thanks for the update.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)i.e. Candidate A scores 52% in a poll and Candidate B scores 48% = 4% lead for Candidate A.
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)livetohike
(22,156 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)Their only question for Sanders will be "Why?"
book_worm
(15,951 posts)with the exception of probably Arizona--I would say that Sanders in favored in Utah, Idaho and probably Alaska. They are all open caucuses and Sanders performs much better there.
stopbush
(24,396 posts)As I pointed out in another thread, the press corp has deserted his campaign plane. Never a good sign.
Independent votes will be depressed tomorrow. I have a feeling Hillary is going to do great...again.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)he has little chance of matching her in delegates,let alone gaining delegate.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Gothmog
(145,443 posts)LisaM
(27,818 posts)I'm unclear as to why there hasn't been polling. And, that said, most of the Hillary supporters I know are kind of keeping it under the radar, too. Weather could be a factor in turnout, we've been having a mix of semi-nice days and deluges. It's also Easter weekend.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)The question is by how much.