Delegate-wise, Bernie Sanders only has one good day remaining in this race: March 26th.
About WA--I posted a thread- her volunteers are out there trying to bring them to the caucus. Also Bill will be in two big cites and Hillary is also going to WA. She will be stumping for some delegates.
Delegate-wise, Bernie Sanders only has one good day remaining in this race: March 26th.
http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/delegate-wise-bernie-sanders-only-has-one-good-day-remaining-in-this-race/24201/
By Bill Palmer | March 20, 2016
For all the buzz about how Bernie Sanders might be able to find enough remaining delegates to catch up to Hillary Clinton in this blowout of a democratic primary race, I keep looking at the calendars and the numbers… and looking… and looking… to try to find a day that might meaningfully help him. There are no winner-take-all states for the democrats, so big wins in small states and small wins in big states don’t change things much mathematically. I have, however, found one day on the calendar in which he has a good chance of having a decent net-positive delegate haul. It’s coming up sooner than you think.
March 26th consists of the medium-state caucus of Washington and the tiny caucus states of Hawaii and Alaska. The open format in Washington helps Bernie because, as in Michigan, independents who don’t want to bother registering as a democrat can vote for him anyway. The total lack of polling in the state suggests that even the pollsters aren’t sure what’s going to happen. Demographics suggest that it’s the rare non-small state that naturally favors Bernie, perhaps the first since Iowa. So let’s say he wins it with 60% of the vote, which would be by far the best he’s done in a primary of this size to date. He’d end up about plus-20 in the delegates there.
Hawaii and Alaska are both tiny caucuses, which gives the strong edge to Bernie......................
So his best outcome would be solid wins in all three states, and he would close the total delegate margin by 25 to 30 delegates in one day. The trouble: he’s down by hundreds of delegates. And after that he’s likely to get blown out in the large states of New York and Pennsylvania among others. So you might hear a media narrative about Bernie Sanders suddenly making a comeback if he gets his best outcome on March 26th. But it’ll be a false narrative, because he’ll have erased less than ten percent of his deficit. And he’s not set to have another strong-delegate-advantage day in March, April, or May.
As for the much discussed closing state of California in June, even if he somehow won it, the demographics suggest it would be by a close margin. That means it would be essentially a delegate wash, .................
Delegate-wise, other than March 26th, he just doesn’t appear to have another strong day coming.
= new reply since forum marked as read
Good luck in Hawaii!
And I love this phrase, from that article:
"this blowout of a democratic primary race" 
Except it's called "Preferential Poll"!
http://hawaiidemocrats.org/presidential-preference-poll/
I love it, too, Riff!
...reduce Clinton's 325 delegate lead down to 305.
Unlike lots of other things in life, in primaries/caucuses winning isn't everything. One has to win big to gain ground (and that mythical "momentum"
They will be the most important, most enlightened, game changing delegates! They will create such momentum that the supers must flock to Sanders. The pledged delegates too....no matter that they are PLEDGED delegates. Hillary's loyal delegates are the craven, power-hungry detritus of the political mainstream so they don't matter at all. Any delegate worth his salt is begging for the opportunity to flip to Bernie! Any means is justified to carry this nation to the feet of Bernie Sanders, in spite of their votes! Also the South.
