New Emerson poll out for New York---Hillary leads by 48 points!

[charlyvi]

I heart NY!


In the Democratic primary, Clinton is ahead of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders by 48 points, taking 71% of the vote to Sanders’s 23%. The former Secretary of State holds a massive advantage in key demographic groups, including men (66% to 29%), women (73% to 20%), African Americans (72% to 22%) and Hispanics (85% to 8%). Younger voters, ages 18-34, favor Sanders, but by a slimmer margin (53% to 40%) than in many primary states. Among all other age groups, Clinton dominates, leading by 45 points (ages 35-54), 50 points (ages 55-74), and 67 points (ages 75+).

Clinton and Sanders have similar favorability numbers with likely Democratic primary voters. Her favorable/unfavorable ratio is 82%/15% (+67); his is 63%/26% (+37). However Clinton garners far more loyalty: 85% of those who view her favorably plan to vote for her in the primary, while only 31% who have a favorable view of Sanders intend to vote for him.


http://www.theecps.com

[Treant]

1. Awesome!

But doesn't that seem a little...extreme...to anybody else, and as though it might be an outlier? That's a ear-shattering blowout comparable to Mississippi!

I get that it's technically her home state and all, but...wow.

[jmowreader]

3. Not really, no; other states have shown similar results

Mississippi was Clinton +66.1
Georgia was Clinton +43.1
SC was Clinton +47.2

[charlyvi]

4. She was their Senator for 8 yrs.

538 gives Emerson a C+ average, so I suppose it could be an outlier. The most recent prior poll, before 3-15, has her up 21. So we'll just have to wait and see!

[Princess Turandot]

5. FWIW: The page with the pollster ratings shows a date of September 14, 2014. I think that's (very)..

historical ratings, unless I somehow just bookmarked an older version. In the polling list on their NY Primary page, http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-democratic/, they are giving that poll a weight of 1.08.

[Her Sister]

2. I am in NY!!

raring to go!! lol!

[fleabiscuit]

6. April is not going to be kind to BS. n/t

[Tarheel_Dem]

7. K&R!!!! Even if these numbers are off a bit, it will still be a bloodbath in NY.

[Cha]

8. New Yorkers are smart.. my old stomping grounds!

Mahalo charly!

[charlyvi]

9. Mahalo!

What does mahalo mean exactly? (Sorry)

[Cha]

10. No problem.. It means "thank you" in Hawaiian!

[charlyvi]

11. How do you say you're welcome? Eom

[beachbum bob]

12. she wins New York by 25-30%

could be more but it won't be 48%...she'll pick way more delegates again