Politico guide to Super Tuesday (Hill's Group)

[MSMITH33156]

Decent write-up to get ready for Tuesday. Takeaway is that the states to watch are Minnesota, Colorado, Massachusetts and Oklahoma...just because Sanders is going to win Vermont and get blown out everywhere else. Essentially, it's going to be a bad night for Sanders as a best case, or a complete disaster as a worst case.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/breaking-down-democrats-super-tuesday-map-219920

[Lucinda]

1. Thank you! This looks like a great breakdown!

Much appreciated.

[Koinos]

2. Losing Massachusetts would be a major part of a worst case for Sanders.

Winning Oklahoma would upend his supporters' argument that red states don't matter.

[Buzz Clik]

3. Here's where the story ends.

[BlueMTexpat]

4. Minnesota is a caucus state

and subject to the usual caucus caveats. No recent polls are available but our secret weapon is the wonderful Al Franken. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mn/minnesota_democratic_presidential_caucus-3585.html

Hillary seems to have momentum in Massachusetts. May that momentum continue! http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ma/massachusetts_democratic_presidential_primary-3891.html

Colorado is also a caucus state. There are no recent polls that RCP recognizes. But there is a sizable constituency of Latinos there and the recent nastiness of some Bernie supporters towards a Latina icon such as Dolores Huerta is bound not to have sat well. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_democratic_presidential_caucus-5229.html

Oklahoma: Hillary is still ahead there although the race has tightened. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ok/oklahoma_democratic_presidential_primary-5739.html

Whether Hillary actually wins in these states or not - and I am not ready to concede any one of them - she should still finish well enough to pick up almost as many delegates as Bernie in them.

[kjones]

5. Interesting tidbits

-Sanders did better with gun owners than non-gun owners.
-People who said "Honesty and trustworthy" were their decider voted for Clinton by 2% margin (guess they're about equal, huh?)
-People who said "Experience" was their decider voted for Clinton by an 88% margin.
-People who said "Can Win in November" was their decider voted for Clinton by a 64% margin.
-74% want Obama's policies continued, and 81% of those individuals favor Clinton.