Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumFresh off SC, Predictive Markets increase Hill's chance at nomination to 95%!
95!
Also, for Super Tuesday, odds have switched to her favor in Massachusetts (69-31) and Minnesota (56-44).
http://predictwise.com/
Markets are concluding that the Democratic Party and voters are coalescing around Clinton.
To outsiders: this was a post in the HRC group.
Treant
(1,968 posts)Just this win can absorb 100% of Vermont's delegates going to Bernie...plus a decent deficit in Massachusetts.
And the rest of the states on Tuesday are all Clinton leaners or outright wins.
MADem
(135,425 posts)I don't believe those MA numbers--there are still a lot of Berners here; what this might test is the resolve of the older ones, the ones with daughters who recognize the historical element of HRC's candidacy, the ones who "could go either way," (and there are a lot of those), and the ones who see their enthusiasm deflating as a consequence of the SC result.
Testing resolve, though, isn't the same as vanquishing it.
But, like I said--I think MA will be close, no matter what some sites are reporting.
I think it could go either way.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)The percentage is chance of winning only--in this case they say Clinton has a better shot at winning a close race in MA than Bernie.
MADem
(135,425 posts)I'm hearing a lot of gripes from the people I take to the polls--a lot of them have had venue changes.
It's a pain in the ass; I've been checking and rechecking and I'm going to have to find a few polling places I've never been to before.
brer cat
(24,606 posts)and thanks for your GOTV work! I'm in GA which is a lock for Hill. She and John Lewis have this!