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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 12:44 AM Feb 2016

Fresh off SC, Predictive Markets increase Hill's chance at nomination to 95%!

95!

Also, for Super Tuesday, odds have switched to her favor in Massachusetts (69-31) and Minnesota (56-44).

http://predictwise.com/

Markets are concluding that the Democratic Party and voters are coalescing around Clinton.

To outsiders: this was a post in the HRC group.

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Fresh off SC, Predictive Markets increase Hill's chance at nomination to 95%! (Original Post) Godhumor Feb 2016 OP
No surprise there. Treant Feb 2016 #1
I expect MA to be close--I am working hard to GOTV here. MADem Feb 2016 #2
Markets expect it to be close, too Godhumor Feb 2016 #3
They've also moved a number of polling places in cities and towns. MADem Feb 2016 #8
Good luck, MADem brer cat Feb 2016 #4
Thank you for doing that. eom fleabiscuit Feb 2016 #5
Mahalo for your work in MA, MADem! Cha Feb 2016 #7
K&R McCamy Taylor Feb 2016 #6
This is looking very much fun indeed shenmue Feb 2016 #9
K & R SunSeeker Feb 2016 #10

Treant

(1,968 posts)
1. No surprise there.
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 12:47 AM
Feb 2016

Just this win can absorb 100% of Vermont's delegates going to Bernie...plus a decent deficit in Massachusetts.

And the rest of the states on Tuesday are all Clinton leaners or outright wins.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
2. I expect MA to be close--I am working hard to GOTV here.
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 12:53 AM
Feb 2016

I don't believe those MA numbers--there are still a lot of Berners here; what this might test is the resolve of the older ones, the ones with daughters who recognize the historical element of HRC's candidacy, the ones who "could go either way," (and there are a lot of those), and the ones who see their enthusiasm deflating as a consequence of the SC result.

Testing resolve, though, isn't the same as vanquishing it.

But, like I said--I think MA will be close, no matter what some sites are reporting.

I think it could go either way.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
3. Markets expect it to be close, too
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 12:56 AM
Feb 2016

The percentage is chance of winning only--in this case they say Clinton has a better shot at winning a close race in MA than Bernie.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
8. They've also moved a number of polling places in cities and towns.
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 01:10 AM
Feb 2016

I'm hearing a lot of gripes from the people I take to the polls--a lot of them have had venue changes.

It's a pain in the ass; I've been checking and rechecking and I'm going to have to find a few polling places I've never been to before.

brer cat

(24,606 posts)
4. Good luck, MADem
Sun Feb 28, 2016, 01:05 AM
Feb 2016

and thanks for your GOTV work! I'm in GA which is a lock for Hill. She and John Lewis have this!

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