I like to do math. This race is almost over (HRC group)

[Godhumor]

Text cross-posted from GDP.

OK, we're going to make some really, really favorable assumptions to Bernie here, just to prove a point.

In pledged delegates he is currently -1 vs Clinton.

Let's say he manages to win 45% of all delegates between SC and the end of his butcher's row on March 15. There is a total of 2,239 delegate up for grabs in that time frame.

He is now -240 as of March 15.

The "favorable" schedule for him lasts from March 22 through April 9. During that time there are a total of 435 delegates up for grabs. Let's say he goes on a big run and wins 60% of all those delegates.

Guess what, he is still 157 behind heading into the Goliath that is NY and a much less favorable schedule from there on out.

No, Bernie won't be mathematically eliminated by mid March, but when analysts talk about him being in a deficit that is nearly statistical impossible to make up? That's why.

[SunSeeker]

1. K & R

[yallerdawg]

2. Now it's all about the money!

When his supporters don't see a way, he is done.

The problem with 'true believers' - well, we know where the phrase "Drink the Kool-Aid" came from, don't we?

[BlueCaliDem]

6. Jonestown. Yup. I'm no Hillary "believer". I know and see her flaws in the cold harsh light of day.

But I approach politics with an open mind. If I want religion, I'll got to church (which I don't).

I've watched how she interacts with members of the most powerful branch of gov't we have - Congress - and whether or not she's selling me crap covered in a layer of gold. I watch how Republicans treat her (the same as they treat Obama) and I also look at how a candidate interacts with prominent PoC and how they approach my candidate.

So far, Hillary's gained the support and respect of these powerful people in Congress and States, and she's admired by none other than the most progressive president of my lifetime. That's not an easy feat in a place where making friends is next to impossible. That tells me something. That's why I support her as president of the United States.

[Lucinda]

3. KNR

[George II]

4. I do the math every couple of days, too. By my calculations, after Tuesday Sanders will....

....have to win 59% of the remaining pledged delegates AND 51% of the superdelegates to win.

Since Clinton already has 62% of the superdelegates already, he's got to win about 62-65% of the remaining pledged delegates. That simply isn't going to happen.

By Wednesday morning, the only remaining questions will be:

1. When will Sanders withdraw?
2. When will President Obama endorse Clinton?

[Cha]

5. Thank you for your analysis, GH.. this must be the fun kind of math.. I'm so glad you like to do it!