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vdogg

(1,384 posts)
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 07:03 AM Feb 2016

Do not believe the Sanders is up 6 !1!1!111!!! Thread

It is complete and total BS. I'll post my breakdown of that manipulated crap they tried to pass off as real that I posted in GDP.

This source seems suspect. Below is the Reuters/Ipsos poll from the same timeframe that is posted on the 538 website and used in their calculations.

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:1

It appears that the person in the article manipulated the cross tabs and posted it as an actual result.

Here is the 538 link

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/national-primary-polls/democratic/

Scroll down to feb 19-23 and click on "Ipsos Online" poll

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obamanut2012

(26,080 posts)
2. I just looked at it - the author of the article played with it
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 07:15 AM
Feb 2016

If actual and likely voters are put it, the results are very, very different.

DemonGoddess

(4,640 posts)
3. Of course the author played with it.
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 07:35 AM
Feb 2016

Remember, there is a faction that would believe being behind by 10 points is actually a win. Losing a caucus by 6 points is a win as well.

We all know this is not true. We can do math, thank you.

still_one

(92,219 posts)
8. It doesn't correlate with the state polls at all, and it is the states that determine
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 10:07 AM
Feb 2016

the respective party nominees and President, through delegates and the electoral college

That's why national polls do not really give an accurate picture of things

Also, these hypothetical match ups between possible nominees in a hypothetical general election are just that, hypothetical. It isn't real until we know who the nominees are

Treant

(1,968 posts)
11. Ow.
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 05:52 PM
Feb 2016

Only in a very seriously stressed world could -7 for Sanders be interpreted as +6.

Tuesday evening and Wednesday are going to be interesting around here, to say the least.

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