Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forum538 has posted updates predictions for the next batch of races (HRC group)
Cross-posted from GDP.
Only including those states with enough polling that 538's model has a prediction. All % are for chances of winning the state, not margin of victory.
Feb 27:
South Carolina - Clinton 96%
Mar 1:
Arkansas - Clinton 99%
Georgia - Clinton >99%
Oklahoma - Clinton 78%
Tennessee - Clinton 99%
Texas - Clinton 98%
Virginia - Clinton 98%
Mar 8:
Michigan - Clinton 97%
Mar 15:
North Carolina - Clinton 97%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/
As I said in my post yesterday, analysts recognize the math just isn't there for Bernie.
BlueMTexpat
(15,371 posts)I very much hope that these predictions are correct.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)outperforms Hillary in various States. Of course, those polls look suspicious (except Vermont) since some of them are touting that both Trump and Bernie are getting the lion's share of the "votes" for those polls.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)I don't put anyone on ignore, but there are people I won't be drawn into discussion with. That one is one of the few.
BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)God damn it.
*sigh*
Well, we all have our weak moments. No biggie.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)A poster and a topic I internally viewed to ignore. Apparently their combined "strength" was too much for me.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)The Sanders folks are trying to ignore it so it will eventually slip out of sight.
Treant
(1,968 posts)Seven! States!
(If you use the whacked polls, that is, and ignore any momentum change from last Saturday and this Saturday, but, y'know...)
pandr32
(11,605 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Looks like total domination for Hillary!
still_one
(92,364 posts)substantial
Nothing should be taken for granted, and we must insurance diligence in getting out the vote for Hillary
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)They are also posting RW Weekly Standard to discredit HRC on Civil Rights. BS campaign is going full negative.
Coolest Ranger
(2,034 posts)I love it and I'm already seeing pro-Hillary ads in my part of North Carolina since I'm close to the VA border.
liberal N proud
(60,339 posts)How many of the delegates from these races are split?
MADem
(135,425 posts)I'm not taking a thing for granted though.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)for the Sanders campaign.
Unless he really surprisingly wins at least one contest I don't see how he could pull it off.