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riversedge

(70,304 posts)
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 10:06 AM Feb 2016

Dem turnout DOWN in NV--as it was in IA and NH......

Bernie sanders main argument that is is electable because he is bringing in new voters is NOT panning out.





Bruce Mehlman
?@bpmehlman

GOP voters again outpace '12 primaries (SC +17%), DEMS again trail 2008 (NV -31%)... Over 1st 3: GOP +22% / DEM -22%


9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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FarPoint

(12,443 posts)
3. Trump won't be the nominee...
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 10:14 AM
Feb 2016

I see a Rubio/ Kasich GOP ticket... Not sure the base for GOP will be as enthusiastic.... It's really too early to project our Democratic base momentum... Mr. Sanders should be out after Super Tuesday so then we will power up...We do much better in the last lapses... Procrastination is one of our defects.

Bleacher Creature

(11,257 posts)
4. That was so unexpected!!
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 10:14 AM
Feb 2016

Not.

It's like clockwork. Every four years someone magically discovers the key to getting newer, and typically younger, voters to come to the polls, and every time they are wildly disappointed. Obama actually did have some success, but even that was nominal. He won by doing well across multiple demographics.

Walk away

(9,494 posts)
7. Well, Bernie managed to get young people to click on internet polls...
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 11:20 AM
Feb 2016

On election day my polling station is filled with people of every nationality and color. But I am always struck by the average age of the voters. Rarely do I see anyone under 35 unless they are children tagging along with their parents after school.

It's always senior citizens that volunteer to run the polling stations too.

kydo

(2,679 posts)
5. Personally, here is what I think about low primary turn out.
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 10:17 AM
Feb 2016

2008 was a way different race, we had lots of interest. We had a strong woman candidate and a strong African American candidate. And we couldn't get rid of w fast enough. Everyone was eager to vote. So they came out for the primaries.

Many dems that I know, don't care which person gets the nomination. They like both HRC and Sanders. They don't like the in-fighting. So they are just waiting for the primaries to be over with. As they fully intend to vote for whom ever wins the dem nomination. They hate, the donald, think cruz is creepy, and mr roboto is a water joke.

In a way I am not worried about low turn out in this years primaries.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
6. A one point comparison is interesting
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 10:23 AM
Feb 2016

but not very indicative of much statistically. I'd be curious to see Dem registered against Dem voting percentages in the primary for several non-incumbent cycles. I'd bet there's an ebb and flow, and in this case, we're in an ebb.

2008 was to replace Bush...who was a rather polarizing figure to the Democrats. And we had Obama, an excellent orator. Of course we showed up in droves.

2016 is a far different case. We're coming off of 8 good years. And most of the people who aren't political wonks are fine with either candidate, so there's nothing drawing them to the polls.

On the Republican side, this is easily the most polarized primary in recent history. You have Trump, the maverick, Rubio, the evangelist, and Cruz, that third one. Of course turnout is quite high.

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)
8. I believe you're right. But the numbers will rise significantly when President Obama makes his
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 03:01 PM
Feb 2016

endorsement known and will campaign for that person. And yes, I believe it's going to be Hillary Clinton, his former SoS - and who didn't want him primaried in 2012.

Then you're going to see a significant rise in enthusiasm and participation. Bookmark this post for future reference.

Cha

(297,665 posts)
9. bernie's blaming his loss on voter turnout or lack there of.. no mention of what happened to
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 03:08 PM
Feb 2016

to the revolution

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