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It's really a Sanders victory if Clinton wins by less than N percent (Original Post) DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 OP
.. mcar Feb 2016 #1
You the best bravenak Feb 2016 #2
Sour grapes already in GDP. It's not over, but a win is a win. livetohike Feb 2016 #3
I predicted HRC by 5 earlier this week stopbush Feb 2016 #4
You were a little over, but that's okay, I think we all were jmowreader Feb 2016 #20
I see you've been reading GDP. SunSeeker Feb 2016 #5
Regularly DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #10
N = 1.2 * Actual Percent Win Treant Feb 2016 #6
If Hillary wins by 5, Bernie will declare it a win for him 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #7
Yup. ismnotwasm Feb 2016 #8
Lmfao vdogg Feb 2016 #9
oh boy... DemonGoddess Feb 2016 #11
If Hillary wins here and then big in SC, she'll win big on Super Tuesday and it's DONE. RBInMaine Feb 2016 #12
True, but remind them that "N" can't be traded in for delegates. George II Feb 2016 #13
If a tree falls in a forest and no one's around to see it, did Bernie still win? nt kjones Feb 2016 #14
Was it a revolutionary tree? DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #15
I don't know. Yew can never tell with these poplar-ists... kjones Feb 2016 #19
Bravo! DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #21
You win three Internets shenmue Feb 2016 #29
Brilliant. lamp_shade Feb 2016 #16
Bernsters are already claiming many of their caucus goers were cut off pandr32 Feb 2016 #17
Oh, God. DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #18
Not to mention that MSMITH33156 Feb 2016 #22
Agreed! pandr32 Feb 2016 #28
GD:P is Bitterman central at the moment Tarc Feb 2016 #23
Yes, it is DavidDvorkin Feb 2016 #24
I'm not buying that he won the Latino vote... MSMITH33156 Feb 2016 #25
so true, and I can see the talking heads spewing that still_one Feb 2016 #26
Now that's funny right there. Agnosticsherbet Feb 2016 #27
and we have someone calling it a tie! DemonGoddess Feb 2016 #30
That's so meta. Treant Feb 2016 #32
Time to invest in hazmat suits. It's getting deeper and deeper in GD-P. nt UtahLib Feb 2016 #31

jmowreader

(50,567 posts)
20. You were a little over, but that's okay, I think we all were
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 07:04 PM
Feb 2016

She took it by four percent, and with the built-in voter fraud mechanism in NV I'm a little surprised - happy, of course, but still a bit surprised - she did that well.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
6. N = 1.2 * Actual Percent Win
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:58 PM
Feb 2016

That's an approximation, but generally bears out in practice.

So it looks like Hills has won 2 of 3, and next Saturday will have won 3 of 4.

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)
7. If Hillary wins by 5, Bernie will declare it a win for him
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:58 PM
Feb 2016

If Bernie wins by .001%, Bernie will claim a landslide and demand Hillary drop out.

kjones

(1,053 posts)
19. I don't know. Yew can never tell with these poplar-ists...
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 06:53 PM
Feb 2016

A lot of times, they pretend to take a stand, but their bark
is worse than their bite.

pandr32

(11,631 posts)
17. Bernsters are already claiming many of their caucus goers were cut off
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 06:35 PM
Feb 2016

That they still had many in line-ups. Obviously that would have been the same for people there for Hillary, too, because of the time cut-off, but they don't mention that.
Oh well...I'm so excited!!!


MSMITH33156

(879 posts)
22. Not to mention that
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 07:15 PM
Feb 2016

this actually hurts Hillary. Long lines always impact urban centers. That's why in national elections, Republicans try to make voting as hard as possible, because it disproportionately impacts Democratic, urban areas.

Hillary cleaned his clock in the most populated part of the state, any sort of issue like this would have hurt her far worse than him.

Tarc

(10,478 posts)
23. GD:P is Bitterman central at the moment
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 07:26 PM
Feb 2016

"We were close so it's a win for B!"

"Hillary lost the Latino vote so it's a win for B!"

"B would've won if they didn't close the polls!"


These guys are the biggest sore losers since Rove frog-marched Megyn down to the Fox News bowels to see how his saintliness could possibly be wrong.

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)
25. I'm not buying that he won the Latino vote...
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 07:34 PM
Feb 2016
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/701164559923617794

He would have won the state if he won it by 11 points, which is what the entrance polls suggested.

Also, people were cautioning well before the voting started that entrance polls are horribly inaccurate.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
32. That's so meta.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 08:34 PM
Feb 2016

Commenting on an OP he can't comment on in a private group that he obviously reads (hi, there!).

No, it's not a tie. She won...by far more than I projected, although many around here were way closer than I was.

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