NH Tracking Poll: "Hillary is coming back since Iowa"

[book_worm]

MANCHESTER, N.H. (WHDH) -
It's not an earthquake, yet...But the political ground in New Hampshire is moving.

We're seeing more of Iowa's impact, and the war of words underway here.

Hillary Clinton is coming back; and Marco Rubio is coming up.
Sanders still has a significant lead over Clinton-- 58% to 36%-- a 22 point margin.

But look at the direction of the tracks: Sanders is down three and Clinton is up four, our biggest single gain since we started this poll.

http://www.whdh.com/story/31137507/hiller-instinct-7newsumass-lowell-new-hampshire-tracking-poll-day-4

Day 1: 61-30 Sanders +31
Day 2: 63-30 Sanders +33
Day 3: 61-32 Sanders +29
Day 4: 58-36 Sanders +22

This indicates that with rolling averages and days that fall off that after the Iowa victory Hillary has been coming back pretty strongly in NH--probably not enough to win it, but make it much closer than anticipated. My guess is that today that 33-point Sanders lead from Day 2 is still showing up--it will be interesting to see what the results will be tomorrow. If Hillary has another good day then there should be another good shrinking of Sanders' lead.

[stonecutter357]

1. K&R!

[Thinkingabout]

2. She is surging in he right direction, good for her, more votes will increase her delegate count.

[George II]

3. Unfortunately she won't win in New Hampshire, it's not expected anyway. But...

....after Vermont on March 1, there are no other states where he's even close to winning.

[BlueCaliDem]

5. That Susan lady from WaPo claims that Hillary might pull a win in NH just as she'd

done in 2008 when Senator Obama was polling in double-digits ahead of her. Then again, Senator Obama was not from a neighboring State so it's a different situation now. Now Hillary Clinton isn't from the neighboring State.

[George II]

6. It's certainly going to be closer than the latest batch of polls show.

Would be nice if she did pull it out.

[BlueCaliDem]

7. Currently, the media are trying to play up Hillary Clinton's chances in NH, and play down Bernie's.

I guess they got their marching orders from their pro-Republican editors.

[yallerdawg]

8. "Watch MSNBC Debate Tonight!"

"It's a tie!"

"It's too close to call!"

"Did we do that?"

[BlueCaliDem]

9. ...

LOVE your sense of humor, yallerdawg!

[Treant]

10. I'm uncomfortable

stating that Clinton might win NH as I feel it's an unreasonable assumption (Sanders does have home field advantage here).

Saying that the race is closing? Woo-hoo! And I do think it'll close much further--my personal guess is Sanders +10 in NH, but I'd be quite pleased if Clinton did better than that.

[still_one]

4. There are still quite a lot of undecided voters in NH, and while there is no question

that it is an uphill battle for Hillary in NH, this could tighten up a lot more, as the OP is showing

[okasha]

11. Hillary has cut Sanders' lead by 11 points

in just a few days. She should have gotten a bump from the Town Hall and should get a second from the debate.

Voters are beginning to realize-if they haven't already--that Sanders has nothing to offer besides bluster and platitudes where Hillary has specific goals with specific steps to reach them, and measurable outcomes and evaluation criteria.

[Tarheel_Dem]

12. K&R!

[pandr32]

13. Wow! Excellent!

Go Hillary!

[Stuckinthebush]

14. So if she doesn't lose by 30 then she wins, right?

I'm ready to call a loss by 15 or less a win!



Wouldn't it be fabulous if she could squeak out a win? Heads would explode.

[book_worm]

15. BTW, a new NBC poll just came out giving Bernie a 58-38 point lead

so it mirrors this poll which has Hillary gaining ground since Iowa. I'll be interested to see what the tracking poll shows tomorrow.