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riversedge

(70,299 posts)
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 07:45 AM Aug 2015

This poll on Hillary Clinton dropping out of the 2016 race is ridiculous

It is not only the poll that is upsetting but the fact that Bernie supporters sucked it up like sugar.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/08/25/this-poll-on-hillary-clinton-dropping-out-of-the-2016-race-is-ridiculous/



This poll on Hillary Clinton dropping out of the 2016 race is ridiculous

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By Chris Cillizza August 25 at 4:56 PM

In this Thursday, Aug. 6, 2015, photo, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton listens to a home care worker during a roundtable discussion on home care in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)

"SHOCK POLL: 46% Think Hillary Should Suspend Her Campaign..." reads the headline on the Drudge Report. Whoa, you think. The former secretary of state's political troubles in her 2016 campaign are way worse than even you thought!

I mean, maybe. The e-mail server issue Ia problem for Clinton as is the not-so-good way she and the campaign have handled it. But this headline -- and the Rasmussen Reports poll that it links to -- doesn't prove that half of the country wants to get rid of Clinton. In fact, the poll proves very little.

Let's go through the problems with the poll -- in no particular order.

1. It is of all likely voters nationally

Does it surprise you that Republicans think Clinton should suspend her campaign? It shouldn't. If you asked "Should Hillary Clinton immediately move to Mars?" my guess is that loads of Republicans would agree with that statement. I am certain Hillary Clinton and her campaign are not cowed by the fact that lots and lots of Republicans think she should suspend her campaign.

2. It is really badly worded, Part 1.
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4. The survey’s methodology is not the most rigorous


Rather than a poll using a random sample of cellular and landline phones, Rasmussen’s automated surveys only dial landline phones and supplement this with a non-random sample of adults reached online. Results are weighted to a target population of likely voters, but the firm's surveys have struggled with accuracy and missed the mark in recent elections.

When you ask bad or vague questions, the data produced from those questions tends to be, wait for it, bad and vague. What the Rasmussen poll has "proven" is that 46 percent of likely voters are ready to believe something negative about Hillary Clinton.

Raise your hand if that surprises you. (No one should be raising their hand.)
Chris Cillizza writes “The Fix,” a politics blog for the Washington Post. He also covers the White House.............

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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This poll on Hillary Clinton dropping out of the 2016 race is ridiculous (Original Post) riversedge Aug 2015 OP
I think that this poll is ridiculous. msrizzo Aug 2015 #1
In other stoopid news: Bernie Sander Poised for 3rd Party Run leftofcool Aug 2015 #2
Exacty, loc Cha Aug 2015 #3
That must of been hard for Chris Sleezy to write DURHAM D Aug 2015 #4
It is a rassie poll and so of course it is a bad poll Gothmog Aug 2015 #5
Jesus, some hilarious links this morning! beerandjesus Aug 2015 #6
I start by saying Chris Cillizza has appointed himself as chief advisor to the DNC on behalf of GOP. Thinkingabout Aug 2015 #7
Rasmussen's fantasyland has Romney finishing up his mandate first term ericson00 Aug 2015 #8
Didn't they do the same thing to Bill Clinton? William769 Aug 2015 #9

DURHAM D

(32,611 posts)
4. That must of been hard for Chris Sleezy to write
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 08:44 AM
Aug 2015

given that he built his entire career on Democrat and Clinton bashing.

beerandjesus

(1,301 posts)
6. Jesus, some hilarious links this morning!
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 08:53 AM
Aug 2015

"SHOCK POLL: 46% Think Hillary Should Suspend Her Campaign..." reads the headline on the Drudge Report. Whoa, you think. The former secretary of state's political troubles in her 2016 campaign are way worse than even you thought!

It's in the DRUDGE REPORT? Whoa indeed! We'd better block that damn Iran deal, too, or Jesus is gonna kick our asses but hard!

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
7. I start by saying Chris Cillizza has appointed himself as chief advisor to the DNC on behalf of GOP.
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 09:16 AM
Aug 2015

I would suggest if there was a poll on every GOP candidate about whether Democrats thinks a candidate should drop out we would see the same results, and in this case of course other DNC candidate supporters thinks the others should drop out also especially the candidate which is in the lead.

Now I doubt I would participate in a poll like this.

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
8. Rasmussen's fantasyland has Romney finishing up his mandate first term
Wed Aug 26, 2015, 09:20 AM
Aug 2015

not to mention, I'm surprised Cilly got SOMETHING right about Hillary. That tells you when the RW has gone too far.

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