So far, the 2016 election is looking a lot like the one that came before it ...

[lunamagica]

Donald Trump has surged in recent national polls against Hillary Clinton, overtaking her for the first time in the coveted RealClearPolitics average of several polls earlier in the week.

But for all the fuss over the national polls, the only outcome that will matter on election night is how many states Trump can convert from blue to red on the 2012 electoral map between President Barack Obama and then-GOP nominee Mitt Romney.

And, based on recent polling and projections, 2016 is shaping up to be very much like 2012.

Of 23 states with recent polling available on RealClearPolitics, 22 align with the same party in 2016 as in 2012. The only one that is not, Virginia, is a statistical tie in the latest poll.

And the percentages by which Clinton and Trump are leading in these states is, in many cases, nearly identical to the difference by which Obama and Romney won them by in 2012.

In 2012, the key swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania went to Obama by a difference of 1, 2, and 5 points, respectively. Clinton is leading in the RealClearPolitics average in those states by a near-identical 2, 1.4, and 5.3 points.

More: http://www.aol.com/article/2016/05/29/so-far-the-2016-election-is-looking-a-lot-like-the-one-that-cam/21385755/

[MFM008]

1. I just finished reading this

and wtf is wrong with MAINE?
Its a relief just to remember the electoral college, in this case anyway.