Perry Bacon on MSNBC today believes Sanders likely to win KY & OR

[LiberalFighter]

Posting it here so there is an easy record showing prognosticators that get it wrong.

[Iliyah]

1. Who?

[LiberalFighter]

6. Yep! He isn't on much.

He is their senior political reporter since 2014.

[SaschaHM]

2. I rolled my eyes through that entire process.

People bitching about letting democrats choose their nominee and the anchor choosing the 22nd as an arbitrary deadline so that they could put Bernie in the lead with States won and ignore the fact that Clinton's wins and delegate gains vastly outweigh what Sanders got in his caucus wins.

[LiberalFighter]

4. The problem with using March 22nd... don't know the person hosting name.

Since March 22nd there have been 14 contests. Not 10.

Hillary has won 6 and Sanders won 7. The net delegate count is Sanders 4 (494 - 498)

We could go with the last 10 and it is 6 wins for Hillary and 3 for Sanders. Wyoming was a tie with delegates. The net delegate count for that is Clinton 72 (418 - 346).

Using a arbitrary starting point as MSNBC used shows they are playing with the facts.

[Walk away]

3. I think Bernie has Oregon. It's all white and "Progressive".

Kentucky will be close. But it doesn't matter because Hillary will still build on her lead and Bernie will fall behind more.

[LiberalFighter]

7. Will have to wait.

Oregon like Kentucky is a closed primary. Only registered Democrats can vote.

538 has Clinton taking Kentucky and Sanders taking Oregon giving Sanders a possible net delegate win of about 8. But polls had Clinton taking both but they say other factors don't agree.

Washington went for Sanders about 3 weeks ago. It had an open caucus which allowed anyone to vote.

[Tarheel_Dem]

5. I think BS will win both as well. Won't mean a thing, except "faux-mentum". n/t

[book_worm]

8. Well, he's already wrong about Kentucky.

[LiberalFighter]

9. Yep :)

Even if she lost KY she would still win KY by 1 delegate vote. The math is the math.

[Sadie5]

10. Should have givin it some thought

Before he opened his mouth and saw Hillary losing KY.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

11. I believed in the tooth fairy once