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Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:15 PM May 2016

Nate Silver's Big Hillary Clinton Prediction Should Make You Breathe A Sigh Of Relief

http://www.bustle.com/articles/161008-nate-silvers-big-hillary-clinton-prediction-should-make-you-breathe-a-sigh-of-relief



After the #StopTrump campaign failed, Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans began to fear the presumptive GOP candidate's momentum, which had been discounted for months. His candidness and lack of a filter represent everything a politician is not, fostering a movement among voters who have given up on the status quo. But according to FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver, Hillary Clinton could easily beat Trump, suggesting his victories may not carry over into the general election.

On Sunday, Silver announced that based on his calculations, Trump has a 25 percent of winning the general election in November. Though Silver's process helped to predict the winner in all 50 states during the 2012 presidential election, the 2016 race has proven to be largely unpredictable. During an interview with CNN's Anderson Cooper in September 2015, Silver categorized Trump and former GOP candidate Ben Carson into the same pool, assigning them a five percent likelihood of winning the Republican nomination in July. Silver explained why he believed their chances were so slim, ultimately making Trump's impending nomination that much more fascinating.



Though Silver predicts more marginal general election results than other polling sites and electoral vote maps, he isn't alone in his belief that Trump cannot beat Clinton. Based on the surprises thus far, however, it's unclear whether the 2016 general election will follow any sort of predictable pattern.



It looks good for her.......
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Nate Silver's Big Hillary Clinton Prediction Should Make You Breathe A Sigh Of Relief (Original Post) Iamaartist May 2016 OP
It is whether the media controls the story. LiberalFighter May 2016 #1
Trump.... Iamaartist May 2016 #4
I like to remind my fellow Hillary supporters Coolest Ranger May 2016 #2
Yes, yes, a thousand times yes TwilightZone May 2016 #3
I agree .... Iamaartist May 2016 #6
thank-you Iamaartist May 2016 #5

LiberalFighter

(50,938 posts)
1. It is whether the media controls the story.
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:28 PM
May 2016

If they give Trump a disproportionate amount of coverage compared to Clinton then there should be concern.

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
4. Trump....
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:39 PM
May 2016

Most of the media has been bad to her but if they cant judge for themselves in voting for a guy who has no experience at all would cause the world pain

'Being President Is a Serious Job,' It's Not Like a Joke or TV show and if they cant see it they will feel the pain of it all....and will lose themselves..

Plain and simple Trump does not have the experience to run this country and the world.....

The thing I am scared of is the election being rigged.......by the Tea Party it already happened to us in the past...

Coolest Ranger

(2,034 posts)
2. I like to remind my fellow Hillary supporters
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:33 PM
May 2016

to vote. Ignore polls ignore predictions, go out and vote. Don't get lazy

TwilightZone

(25,471 posts)
3. Yes, yes, a thousand times yes
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:38 PM
May 2016

Polls can't account for voter suppression, complacency, and apathy. The last two we can counter directly.

We need to win in large enough margins to ensure that none are a factor.

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